There May Be Reason For Hope In Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing's (SHSE:603331) Disappointing Earnings
There May Be Reason For Hope In Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing's (SHSE:603331) Disappointing Earnings
Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing Corp.'s (SHSE:603331) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our analysis suggests that the soft headline numbers are getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
浙江百达精密制造股份有限公司(SHSE:603331)上周的盈利公告并未打动股东。然而,我们的分析表明,软标题数字正在被一些积极的潜在因素所抵消。
Examining Cashflow Against Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing's Earnings
审视浙江百达精密制造的现金流与盈利情况
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高金融中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是计提比率(从现金流量中)。要获取计提比率,我们首先需要将一个期间的自由现金流减去利润,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。这个比率告诉我们公司的利润超过了其FCF。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。
For the year to September 2024, Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing had an accrual ratio of 0.24. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥43.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥359m in the last year. We also note that Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥359m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月,浙江百达精密制造的应计比率为0.24。因此,我们知道其自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。尽管它报告了人民币4340万的利润,但从自由现金流的角度来看,它实际上在过去一年里损失了人民币35900万。我们还注意到,浙江百达精密制造的自由现金流在去年也是负数,因此我们可以理解股东对其这笔35900万的流出感到担忧。话虽如此,故事还有更多内容。我们可以看到,异常项目影响了其法定利润,因此也影响了应计比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表实力。点击这里查看我们对浙江百达精密制造的资产负债表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
Unfortunately (in the short term) Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing saw its profit reduced by unusual items worth CN¥67m. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
不幸的是(短期内),浙江百大精密制造看到其利润因价值6700万人民币的飞凡项目而减少。如果这是一项非现金支出,它将使应计比率更好,如果现金流保持强劲,那么与普通应计比率结合起来看就不太好了。虽然由于飞凡项目而产生的扣除在第一时间令人失望,但其中也有一线希望。当我们分析了全球上市公司的绝大多数时,发现重大的飞凡项目往往不会重复出现。而这正是会计术语所暗示的。浙江百大精密制造在2024年9月的一年中受到了飞凡项目的相当大冲击。其他条件不变的情况下,这很可能会导致法定利润看起来比其基本盈利能力更糟。
Our Take On Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing's Profit Performance
我们对浙江百大精密制造的利润表现有何看法
In conclusion, Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, we think that Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing's profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Baida Precision Manufacturing (2 don't sit too well with us!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
总的来说,浙江百大精密制造的应计比率表明其法定收益并不由现金流支持,尽管飞凡项目对利润产生了负面影响。基于这些因素,我们认为浙江百大精密制造的利润相当保守地指导其基本盈利能力。请记住,在分析股票时值得注意相关风险。当我们进行研究时,我们发现了浙江百大精密制造的3个警示信号(其中有2个我们不太满意!)我们认为这值得您的充分关注。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我们已经审视了很多可能影响财务数据作为企业指标的因素。但是还有很多其他方法可以了解公司的信誉。有些人认为,高净资产收益率是高质量企业的良好标志。因此,您可能希望查看这个免费列表,其中包括许多净资产收益率高的公司,或这个拥有高内部持股的股票清单。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。