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There May Be Reason For Hope In Kehua HoldingsLtd's (SHSE:603161) Disappointing Earnings

There May Be Reason For Hope In Kehua HoldingsLtd's (SHSE:603161) Disappointing Earnings

科华控股有限公司(SHSE:603161)令人失望的收益可能有希望的原因
Simply Wall St ·  11/04 18:04

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Kehua Holdings Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603161) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.

过去一周软盈利似乎没有让科华控股股份有限公司(SHSE:603161)的股东感到担忧。我们的分析表明,尽管利润较低,但业务基础扎实。

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SHSE:603161 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SHSE:603161 净利润和营业收入历史数据 2024年11月4日

Zooming In On Kehua HoldingsLtd's Earnings

深入了解科华控股有限公司的净利润

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

作为金融迷,大家应该已经知道,从现金流量中的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配情况的关键指标之一。 换句话说,该比率将FCF从净利润中扣除,并将该数值除以公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。 该比率显示我们公司盈利超过了自由现金流的多少。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负净应计比率对公司来说是一个积极的因素,而正净应计比率则是一个消极因素。虽然净应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为,当一个公司的净应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高净应计比率通常是短期利润的一个不良迹象。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Kehua HoldingsLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.27. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥751m, well over the CN¥132.8m it reported in profit. Kehua HoldingsLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

在截至2024年9月的十二个月内,科华控股有限公司的计提比率为-0.27。因此,其法定盈利明显低于其自由现金流。事实上,在过去十二个月中,它报告了CN¥75100万的自由现金流,远远超过了其所报告的盈利CN¥13280万。科华控股有限公司的股东无疑会高兴,因为自由现金流在过去十二个月有所改善。然而,还有其他需要考虑的因素。我们可以看到,飞凡项目影响了其法定利润,因此也影响了计提比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Kehua HoldingsLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。单击此处,转到我们对科华控股的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Kehua HoldingsLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥23m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. If Kehua HoldingsLtd doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

虽然应计比率可能有利,但我们也注意到科华控股有限公司的利润在过去十二个月中受到价值2,300万元人民币的飞凡项目的提振。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当不寻常项目做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们对数千家上市公司进行数据分析时,我们发现一年中由于不寻常项目造成的利润增加往往在下一年不会重复。这并不奇怪,鉴于其名称。如果科华控股有限公司未看到这种贡献的重演,那么其他条件相同,我们预计其利润在当前年度会下降。

Our Take On Kehua HoldingsLtd's Profit Performance

我们对科华控股有限公司的利润表现的看法

Kehua HoldingsLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think that Kehua HoldingsLtd's profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Kehua HoldingsLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be familiar with.

科华控股有限公司的利润得到了不寻常项目的提振,这表明这种增长可能无法持续,但其应计比率仍显示出良好的现金转换,这是令人鼓舞的。基于这些因素,我们认为科华控股有限公司的利润是对其基本盈利能力相当保守的指引。鉴于此,如果您想对公司进行更多分析,了解涉及的风险是至关重要的。例如,我们发现科华控股有限公司存在2项警示信号(1项不应被忽视),您应该熟悉。

Our examination of Kehua HoldingsLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对科华控股有限公司的研究主要关注一些因素,这些因素可能使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。但是,如果您能集中注意力在细节上,总有更多发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是高质量业务的好迹象。虽然这可能需要您进行一些调查,但您可能会发现这些声称拥有高股本回报率公司的自由收集,或者这份拥有显着内部持股的股票清单对您有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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