There Are Some Holes In Tansun Technology's (SZSE:300872) Solid Earnings Release
There Are Some Holes In Tansun Technology's (SZSE:300872) Solid Earnings Release
Tansun Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300872) solid earnings report last week was underwhelming to investors. We think that they may be worried about something else, so we did some analysis and found that investors have noticed some soft numbers underlying the profit.
天阳科技(SZSE:300872)上周发布的稳固季报未能令投资者满意。我们认为他们可能正担心其他事情,因此进行了分析,发现投资者已经注意到利润潜藏着一些疲软数字。
In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, Tansun Technology issued 11% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Tansun Technology's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
为了了解每股收益的潜力,必须考虑公司股东稀释了多少股份。恰好,天阳科技过去一年发行了多出11%的新股。因此,其净利润现在被分摊给更多股东。谈论净利润,却没有注意每股收益,就是被大数字所分心,而忽视与每股价值相关的小数字。点击此链接查看天阳科技的历史EPS增长。
How Is Dilution Impacting Tansun Technology's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
稀释对天阳科技的每股收益(EPS)有何影响?
Tansun Technology's net profit dropped by 15% per year over the last three years. The good news is that profit was up 65% in the last twelve months. But EPS was less impressive, up only 67% in that time. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.
天阳科技的净利润过去三年每年下降15%。好消息是,过去十二个月利润增长了65%。但EPS增长并不那么令人印象深刻,在同期仅增长了67%。因此,稀释对股东回报产生了显著影响。
In the long term, earnings per share growth should beget share price growth. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if Tansun Technology can grow EPS persistently. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
从长期来看,每股收益增长应该促使股价增长。因此,如果天阳科技能持续增长EPS,那对股东肯定是积极的。然而,如果其利润增加,而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能不会看到太多好处。出于这个原因,可以说EPS对长期来看比净收入更重要,假设目标是评估公司的股价是否可能增长。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常规项目如何影响利润?
Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted Tansun Technology's net profit by CN¥70m over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Tansun Technology's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
最后,我们还应考虑到飞凡项目在过去一年中将天阳科技的净利润提高了7千万人民币的事实。 高利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续。 当我们对成千上万家上市公司进行数据分析时,我们发现一年中飞凡项目带来的增长往往不会在下一年重复。 这也是您所期望的,因为这些增长被称为'飞凡'。 我们可以看到,相对于2024年9月的年度利润,天阳科技的正面飞凡项目相当显著。 其他一切相等的情况下,这可能会导致合法利润成为核心盈利能力的一个糟糕指引。
Our Take On Tansun Technology's Profit Performance
我们对天阳科技的盈利表现持这样的看法
In its last report Tansun Technology benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. And furthermore, it went and issued plenty of new shares, ensuring that each shareholder (who did not tip more money in) now owns a smaller proportion of the company. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Tansun Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Tansun Technology at this point in time. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Tansun Technology (including 1 which is significant).
在其最后一份报告中,天阳科技受益于飞凡项目的增长,这使得利润看起来好于实际可持续水平。 而且,它还发行了大量新股份,确保每位股东(未再投入更多资金的情况下)现在拥有公司的较小比例。 出于上述原因,我们认为仅仅粗略地看一下天阳科技的法定利润可能导致其看起来比实际情况好得多。 所以,尽管收益质量很重要,但同样重要的是要考虑天阳科技当前面临的风险。 为此,您应了解我们在天阳科技发现的3个警示信号(包括一个重要信号)。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在本文中,我们已经查看了许多影响利润数据实用性的因素,并对此持谨慎态度。但是,还有许多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。例如,许多人认为高股权回报率是企业经济有利的指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟着钱”的思路,并寻找内部人员购买的股票。虽然这可能需要一些您自己的研究,但是您可能会发现这个由高股权回报率的公司组成的免费集合,或者这个拥有重要内部人员持股的股票列表有用。
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