Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's (SHSE:603203) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 15% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's (SHSE:603203) Earnings Growth Rate Lags the 15% CAGR Delivered to Shareholders
Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Quick Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603203) shareholders have enjoyed a 79% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 14% (not including dividends).
选股者通常在寻找表现优于大盘的股票。收购被低估的企业是获得超额回报的一种途径。例如,长期的快克智能设备有限公司, Ltd.(上海证券交易所代码:603203)的股东在过去五年中股价上涨了79%,远远超过了约14%的市场回报率(不包括股息)。
In light of the stock dropping 7.0% in the past week, we want to investigate the longer term story, and see if fundamentals have been the driver of the company's positive five-year return.
鉴于该股在过去一周下跌了7.0%,我们想调查长期情况,看看基本面是否是该公司五年正回报率的驱动力。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
沃伦·巴菲特在他的文章《格雷厄姆和多兹维尔的超级投资者》中描述了股价如何并不总是能合理地反映企业的价值。考虑市场对公司的看法如何变化的一种不完美但简单的方法是将每股收益(EPS)的变化与股价变动进行比较。
During five years of share price growth, Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 2.6% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 12% average annual increase in the share price. This suggests that market participants hold the company in higher regard, these days. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
在五年的股价增长中,Quick Intelligent EquipmentLTD实现了每年2.6%的复合每股收益(EPS)增长。每股收益的增长低于股价平均年增长12%。这表明,如今,市场参与者对公司的重视程度更高。考虑到增长的记录,这并不令人震惊。
The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下图描绘了 EPS 随着时间的推移而发生的变化(点击图片显示确切的数值)。
This free interactive report on Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想进一步调查该股,这份关于Quick Intelligent EquipmentLTD收益、收入和现金流的免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd's TSR for the last 5 years was 104%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要的是要考虑任何给定股票的股东总回报率和股价回报率。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。因此,对于支付丰厚股息的公司来说,股东总回报率通常远高于股价回报率。碰巧的是,Quick Intelligent EquipmentLTD在过去5年的股东总回报率为104%,超过了前面提到的股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!
A Different Perspective
不同的视角
While the broader market gained around 5.2% in the last year, Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd shareholders lost 6.3% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 15%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
尽管去年整体市场上涨了约5.2%,但Quick Intelligent EquipmentLTD的股东损失了6.3%(甚至包括股息)。但是,请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月内表现不如市场。长期投资者不会那么沮丧,因为他们本可以在五年内每年赚取15%的收入。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此可能值得查看基本面数据以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。我发现将长期股价视为业务绩效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正获得见解,我们还需要考虑其他信息。例如,我们发现了 Quick Intelligent EquipmentLTD 的 2 个警告标志(1 个不容忽视!)在这里投资之前,您应该注意这一点。
We will like Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些重大的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢Quick Intelligent EquipmentLtd。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份被低估的股票(主要是小盘股)的免费清单,这些股票最近有大量的内幕买盘。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报率。
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。