Is National Silicon Industry GroupLtd (SHSE:688126) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Is National Silicon Industry GroupLtd (SHSE:688126) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that National Silicon Industry Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688126) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性远非风险的同义词。”所以似乎明智的资金知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险程度时非常重要的因素。我们可以看到,沪硅产业(SHSE:688126)的业务确实使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大风险呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当一家企业无法通过自由现金流或者以有吸引力的价格筹集资金来轻松兑现其债务和其他负债时,这些债务和其他负债就会成为企业的风险。最坏的情况是,如果一家公司无法偿付其债权人的债务,就会破产。虽然这种情况并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的企业因为债权人强迫它们以低价筹集资本而永久稀释股东的利益。当然,债务在企业中可以成为重要的工具,特别是在投资巨额的企业中。在考虑企业负债的情况下,我们首先要看现金和债务的总体情况。
How Much Debt Does National Silicon Industry GroupLtd Carry?
沪硅产业板块有多少债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 National Silicon Industry GroupLtd had debt of CN¥6.02b, up from CN¥3.16b in one year. However, it does have CN¥6.31b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥288.5m.
下面的图片可供查看更详细信息,显示2024年9月沪硅产业板块的债务为60.2亿元人民币,比一年前的31.6亿元人民币增加。然而,它确实有63.1亿元人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,形成净现金28850万人民币。

How Healthy Is National Silicon Industry GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?
沪硅产业的资产负债表健康状况如何?
The latest balance sheet data shows that National Silicon Industry GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥3.96b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥5.59b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥6.31b in cash and CN¥1.07b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.17b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新资产负债表数据显示,沪硅产业的短期负债为39.6亿人民币,长期负债为55.9亿人民币。抵消这些负债的是,公司拥有63.1亿现金和10.7亿应收款,这些款项在12个月内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收款合计多出21.7亿人民币。
Of course, National Silicon Industry GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥59.6b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, National Silicon Industry GroupLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if National Silicon Industry GroupLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
当然,沪硅产业的市值为596亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可控的。但目前仍有足够的负债,我们建议股东们继续关注资产负债表的情况。尽管存在需要注意的负债,沪硅产业拥有的现金超过债务,因此我们相当有信心它可以安全地管理其债务。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的重点。但最终,业务未来的盈利能力将决定沪硅产业能否持续加强其资产负债表。因此,如果你专注于未来,可以查看这份显示分析师盈利预测的免费报告。
In the last year National Silicon Industry GroupLtd had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 3.4%, to CN¥3.3b. That's not what we would hope to see.
在过去一年中,沪硅产业的利息和税前亏损,并且营业收入实际上下降了3.4%,达到33亿人民币。这并不是我们希望看到的。
So How Risky Is National Silicon Industry GroupLtd?
那沪硅产业有多大风险?
By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And in the last year National Silicon Industry GroupLtd had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥4.8b of cash and made a loss of CN¥562m. Given it only has net cash of CN¥288.5m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that National Silicon Industry GroupLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
从本质上讲,亏损的公司比那些长期盈利的公司更具风险。在过去一年中,沪硅产业的利息和税前亏损,事实如此。事实上,在那段时间内,公司烧掉了48亿现金,亏损了56200万人民币。考虑到其净现金仅为28850万人民币,如果不很快实现盈亏平衡,公司可能需要筹集更多资本。总的来说,我们对这个公司持有一些怀疑,因为在没有自由现金流的情况下,它似乎存在相当大的风险。在分析负债水平时,资产负债表显然是明显的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。请注意,在我们的投资分析中,沪硅产业显示出了一个警示信号,您应该知道……
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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