Is Motorcomm Electronic Technology (SHSE:688515) A Risky Investment?
Is Motorcomm Electronic Technology (SHSE:688515) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Motorcomm Electronic Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688515) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
霍华德·马克斯很好地表达了这一点,他说,与其担心股价波动,不如担心永久性损失的可能性...我认识的每个实际投资者都会担心这一点。因此,明智的投资者知道,债务 - 通常与破产有关 - 是评估公司风险时非常重要的因素。我们注意到,Motorcomm Electronic Technology Co.,Ltd.(SHSE:688515)的资产负债表中确实有债务。但股东们是否应该担心公司使用债务?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来什么风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
债务在企业遇到支付困难时提供帮助,无论是通过新资本还是通过自由现金流。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还债权人,公司可能会破产。虽然这并不太常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因债权人强迫其以处于困境价格的方式筹集资本而永久性地稀释股东利益。当然,许多公司利用债务进行增长资金,而没有任何负面后果。考虑一个企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看现金和债务共同构成的情况。
What Is Motorcomm Electronic Technology's Debt?
摩托康电子科技的债务情况如何?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Motorcomm Electronic Technology had CN¥11.2m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has CN¥1.37b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.36b net cash.
正如您在下文所看到的,截至2024年9月底,摩托康电子科技的债务为1120万人民币,较一年前增加。点击图片以获取更多详细信息。但它也有13.7亿人民币的现金来抵消,这意味着它有13.6亿人民币的净现金。
How Healthy Is Motorcomm Electronic Technology's Balance Sheet?
摩托康秒电子科技的资产负债表如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Motorcomm Electronic Technology had liabilities of CN¥113.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.46m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.37b and CN¥77.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.32b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,摩托康秒电子科技有1年内到期的负债为11340万人民币,以及超过1年到期的946万人民币的负债。另一方面,它拥有13.7亿人民币的现金和7770万人民币的应收账款。因此,它可以夸口拥有13.2亿人民币的流动资产超过总负债。
This surplus suggests that Motorcomm Electronic Technology is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Due to its strong net asset position, it is not likely to face issues with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Motorcomm Electronic Technology has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Motorcomm Electronic Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
这一盈余表明摩托康秒电子科技正在以一种看似安全和谨慎的方式利用债务。由于其良好的净资产状况,它不太可能遇到与债权人的问题。简单来说,摩托康秒电子科技拥有比债务更多的现金,这可以被认为是它能够安全地管理债务的一个很好迹象。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,业务未来的盈利能力将决定摩托康秒电子科技是否可以随着时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师盈利预测的这份免费报告很有趣。
In the last year Motorcomm Electronic Technology wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 40%, to CN¥375m. Shareholders probably have their fingers crossed that it can grow its way to profits.
在过去一年里,摩托康秒电子科技在EBIt水平上没有盈利,但其营业收入增长了40%,达到了37500万人民币。股东们可能满怀期待地期待它能够通过增长实现盈利。
So How Risky Is Motorcomm Electronic Technology?
摩托康秒电子科技有多大风险?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And we do note that Motorcomm Electronic Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of CN¥309m and booked a CN¥150m accounting loss. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥1.36b. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Motorcomm Electronic Technology may be on a path to profitability. By investing before those profits, shareholders take on more risk in the hope of bigger rewards. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Motorcomm Electronic Technology (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
从统计学角度来看,亏损的公司比赚钱的公司风险更高。我们注意到,摩托康秒电子科技在过去一年里有着利息和税前利润(EBIT)亏损。在同一时期,它看到了30900万人民币的负自由现金流和记载了15000万人民币的会计亏损。虽然这使得该公司有点风险,但重要的是要记住它净现金达到了13.6亿人民币。这笔现金意味着公司至少可以按照当前速度继续为增长支出两年。在过去一年里,摩托康秒电子科技有非常可观的营业收入增长,可能正在走向盈利。通过在这些利润之前进行投资,股东们承担更多风险,希望获得更大的回报。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超过资产负债表以外的风险。为此,您应该了解我们发现的摩托康秒电子科技的2个警示信号(包括1个让我们感觉不太舒服的信号)。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
在一天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们的特别名单,其中所有公司都有盈利增长历史记录。这是免费的。
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