Caribou Biosciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRBU) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 25% after a shaky period beforehand. But the last month did very little to improve the 51% share price decline over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Caribou Biosciences' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 13x and even P/S above 73x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
What Does Caribou Biosciences' Recent Performance Look Like?
Caribou Biosciences certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Caribou Biosciences.
How Is Caribou Biosciences' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Caribou Biosciences' to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 132%. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 25% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 130% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why Caribou Biosciences' P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Caribou Biosciences' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As expected, our analysis of Caribou Biosciences' analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Caribou Biosciences (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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