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We Don't Think Datang Telecom Technology's (SHSE:600198) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

We Don't Think Datang Telecom Technology's (SHSE:600198) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

我们认为大唐电信技术(SHSE:600198)的收益不应让股东感到太舒服
Simply Wall St ·  11/05 22:08

Datang Telecom Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600198) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. We think that they might be concerned about some underlying details that our analysis found.

大唐电信科技股份有限公司(SHSE: 600198)公布了一些不错的收益,但股东们并未做出强烈反应。我们认为,他们可能会担心我们的分析发现的一些潜在细节。

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SHSE:600198 Earnings and Revenue History November 5th 2024
SHSE: 600198 收益和收入历史记录 2024 年 11 月 5 日

A Closer Look At Datang Telecom Technology's Earnings

仔细看看大唐电信科技的收益

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Datang Telecom Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.30 for the year to September 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥236m despite its profit of CN¥75.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥236m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2024年9月的一年中,大唐电信科技的应计比率为0.30。不幸的是,这意味着其自由现金流远少于其法定利润,这使我们怀疑利润作为指导的效用。在过去的十二个月中,它的自由现金流实际上为负数,尽管如上所述,其利润为7520万元人民币,但流出量仍为23600万元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年23600万元的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。话虽如此,故事还有更多。我们可以看到,不寻常的项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Datang Telecom Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对大唐电信科技的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥42m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Datang Telecom Technology's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了4200万元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。我们不能否认更高的利润通常会让我们感到乐观,但如果利润是可持续的,我们更愿意这样做。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。我们可以看到,截至2024年9月的一年中,大唐电信科技的不寻常积极项目相对于其利润相当可观。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显高于原来的水平。

Our Take On Datang Telecom Technology's Profit Performance

我们对大唐电信科技盈利表现的看法

Summing up, Datang Telecom Technology received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Datang Telecom Technology's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Datang Telecom Technology, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

总而言之,大唐电信科技从不寻常的项目中获得了不错的利润提振,但其纸面利润无法与自由现金流相提并论。出于上述原因,我们认为,敷衍地看一眼大唐电信科技的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际水平要好。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。在投资风险方面,我们已经确定了大唐电信科技的两个警告信号,了解这些信号应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Our examination of Datang Telecom Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我们对大唐电信科技的审查侧重于某些可能使其收益看起来好于实际的因素。而且,在此基础上,我们有些怀疑。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这份内部所有权高的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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