These 4 Measures Indicate That Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd (SZSE:000751) Is Using Debt Extensively
These 4 Measures Indicate That Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd (SZSE:000751) Is Using Debt Extensively
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Huludao Zinc Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000751) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。” 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载会导致灾难。我们注意到 锌业股份 有债务负担。 但股东们是否应该担心它的债务使用?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
在企业无法轻松履行债务的义务时(要么通过自由现金流,要么通过以有吸引力的价格筹集资本),债务和其他负债就成为企业的风险。资本主义的重要组成部分是“创造性破坏”过程,其中银行家无情地清算失败的企业。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦)情况是必须以低价募集新股权资本,因此永久性地稀释股东权益。当然,有很多公司利用债务来资助其业务增长,而不会产生任何负面后果。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是查看公司的现金和债务情况。
What Is Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's Net Debt?
锌业股份 的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd had CN¥2.92b of debt, an increase on CN¥2.57b, over one year. However, it does have CN¥1.64b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.28b.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但截至2024年9月, 锌业股份 的债务为29.2亿人民币,较一年前的25.7亿人民币有所增加。然而,它有16.4亿人民币的现金来抵消这一增加,导致净债务约为12.8亿人民币。
How Strong Is Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's Balance Sheet?
锌业股份的资产负债表有多强?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.46b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥184.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.64b and CN¥460.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥3.55b.
深入审视最新的资产负债表数据,我们可以看到锌业股份有负债为546000万人民币,应于12个月内到期,并且有18400万人民币的负债超过这一期限。另一方面,它有16.4亿人民币的现金和4.6亿人民币的应收账款,将在一年内到期。因此,它的负债数超过了现金和(短期)应收账款的总和,达到了35.5亿人民币。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥5.15b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
相对于51.5亿人民币的市值,这个赤字相当可观,因此建议股东们密切关注锌业股份对债务的使用。如果债权人要求其加固资产负债表,股东们可能会面临严重的稀释。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
为了衡量公司相对于其收益的债务情况,我们计算其净负债除以利息、税项、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)和其利息支出除以利息前收益(EBIT)的比例(其利息覆盖率)。这种方法的优点是,我们既考虑了债务的绝对量(净负债与 EBITDA),又考虑到了与该债务相关的实际利息支出(其利息覆盖率)。
While Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.8) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 1.4, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Worse, Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's EBIT was down 22% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
虽然锌业股份的债务与EBITDA比率(2.8)表明其使用了一些债务,但其利息保障率非常薄弱,为1.4,暗示了高杠杆。因此,股东们可能应该意识到利息支出似乎最近对业务产生了实质性影响。更糟糕的是,锌业股份上一年的EBIT下降了22%。如果收入继续按照这个轨迹发展,偿还这笔债务将比说服我们在雨中跑马拉松更加困难。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解到最多关于债务的信息。但锌业股份的盈利将影响资产负债表在未来的表现。因此,在考虑债务时,值得考虑盈利趋势。点击此处查看互动快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我们最终考虑的也很重要,因为一家公司无法用纸面利润来偿还债务;它需要冷硬现金。因此,值得检查企业息前税利润有多少由自由现金流支持。在过去的三年中,锌业股份有限公司烧掉了大量现金。尽管投资者无疑期待情况会有所好转,但这显然意味着其债务使用更加冒险。
Our View
我们的观点
On the face of it, Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Huludao Zinc IndustryLtd (2 are concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
从表面上看,锌业股份有限公司的息前税利润转化为自由现金流使我们对该股持保留态度,而其息前税利润增长率也不比一年中最繁忙夜晚的空无一人的餐厅更具吸引力。此外,其总负债水平也无法增添信心。综合讨论的数据点后,我们认为锌业股份有限公司存在太多债务。某种程度的风险对一些人来说是可以接受的,但对于我们来说肯定是不合适的。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上了解最多关于债务的信息。但并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表之内,距离很远。例如,我们发现了锌业股份有限公司的4个警示信号(其中2个令人担忧!)在你投资之前,你应该了解这些。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。