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Investors Can Find Comfort In Shanghai Longcheer Technology's (SHSE:603341) Earnings Quality

Investors Can Find Comfort In Shanghai Longcheer Technology's (SHSE:603341) Earnings Quality

投资者可以在上海龙虹科技(SHSE:603341)的盈利质量中找到安慰
Simply Wall St ·  11/06 06:47

The most recent earnings report from Shanghai Longcheer Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603341) was disappointing for shareholders. Despite the soft profit numbers, our analysis has optimistic about the overall quality of the income statement.

上海隆齿科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603341)最近的收益报告令股东们感到失望。尽管利润数字不尽如人意,但我们的分析对财务报表的整体质量持乐观态度。

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SHSE:603341 Earnings and Revenue History November 5th 2024
SHSE:603341的盈利和营业收入历史数据为2024年11月5日

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Longcheer Technology's Earnings

检查上海隆齿科技的现金流与盈利能力

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融领域,用来衡量一家公司如何将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的主要比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。应计比率从给定期间的自由现金流中减去利润,并将结果除以该公司在该期间内的平均营运资产。该比率显示了一家公司的利润超过其自由现金流的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,负的应计比率对公司是有利的,而正的应计比率则有害。虽然应计比率高于零不是什么大问题,但当一家公司的应计比率相对较高时,我们认为值得注意。因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润较低或利润增长较少。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Shanghai Longcheer Technology recorded an accrual ratio of -0.44. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥678m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥529.1m. Notably, Shanghai Longcheer Technology had negative free cash flow last year, so the CN¥678m it produced this year was a welcome improvement. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

通过2024年9月的十二个月,上海隆齿科技的计提比率达到-0.44。这意味着其自由现金流明显超过其法定利润。事实上,去年它的自由现金流为67800万元人民币,比其法定利润52910万元人民币要多得多。值得注意的是,上海隆齿科技去年的自由现金流为负数,因此今年的67800万元人民币的自由现金流是一个值得欢迎的改善。然而,还有更多需要考虑的因素。我们可以看到异常项目影响了其法定利润,因此也影响了计提比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shanghai Longcheer Technology.

备注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对上海隆齿科技资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shanghai Longcheer Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥100m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

虽然应计比率可能预示着好消息,但我们也注意到上海隆齐科技的利润在过去十二个月中因价值10000万元人民币的 飞凡 项目而提升。我们无法否认,更高的利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了分析,发现 飞凡 项目一般都是一次性的。这正如你所预期的那样,因为这些提升被描述为“飞凡”。假设这些 飞凡 项目在当年不再出现,我们因此预计未来一年的利润会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。

Our Take On Shanghai Longcheer Technology's Profit Performance

对于上海隆齐科技的盈利表现,我们的看法

In conclusion, Shanghai Longcheer Technology's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, we think that Shanghai Longcheer Technology's profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shanghai Longcheer Technology at this point in time. While conducting our analysis, we found that Shanghai Longcheer Technology has 3 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.

总的来说,上海隆齐科技的应计比率表明其资产质量良好,但另一方面利润受到 飞凡 项目的提升。基于这些因素,我们认为上海隆齐科技的利润相对保守地指引其基本盈利能力。因此,尽管盈利质量很重要,但考虑到目前上海隆齐科技面临的风险也同样重要。在进行分析时,我们发现上海隆齐科技有3个警示信号,忽视它们将是不明智的。

Our examination of Shanghai Longcheer Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对上海隆齐科技的审查侧重于某些因素,这些因素可能使其盈利看起来比实际情况更好。但如果您能够把注意力集中在细枝末节上,还有更多可以发现的。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。尽管这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这些拥有高股本回报率的公司集合,或者这些具有重要内部持股的股票列表很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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