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We Think Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (SHSE:600638) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

We Think Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group (SHSE:600638) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

我们认为新黄浦工业集团(SHSE:600638)可以继续保持债务居高不下。
Simply Wall St ·  11/05 17:44

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600638) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

大卫·艾本说得很好,他说:'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本永久损失。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致毁灭。我们可以看到新黄浦实业股份有限公司(SHSE:600638)在业务中确实使用了债务。但更重要的问题是:这些债务造成了多大风险呢?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

为什么债务会带来风险?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

一般来说,当一家公司难以通过筹集资本或自身现金流轻松偿还债务时,负债才会成为一个真正的问题。如果情况变得非常糟糕,贷款人可以接管企业。然而,更普遍(但仍然昂贵)的情况是,一家公司必须以低廉的股票价格稀释股东,以便控制债务。当然,许多公司使用债务来资助增长,而不会产生任何负面后果。考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是考虑现金和债务的总和。

What Is Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's Net Debt?

新黄浦实业集团的净债务是多少?

As you can see below, Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group had CN¥2.89b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥3.58b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥4.87b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.98b.

正如您在下文所看到的,新黄浦实业集团于2024年9月拥有28.9亿人民币的债务,较一年前的35.8亿人民币减少。然而,它确实有48.7亿人民币的现金抵消,导致净现金为19.8亿人民币。

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SHSE:600638 Debt to Equity History November 5th 2024
SHSE:600638负债权益历史数据 2024年11月5日

A Look At Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's Liabilities

新黄浦集团负债情况一览

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group had liabilities of CN¥10.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.46b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.87b and CN¥285.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥10.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,新黄浦集团有107亿人民币的短期到期债务,以及44.6亿人民币的长期到期债务。另一方面,它有48.7亿人民币的现金和28570万人民币的应收账款(短期)到期。因此,它的负债比其现金和短期应收账款的总和多了100亿人民币。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥3.66b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. Given that Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can handle its debt, despite the fact that it has a lot of liabilities in total.

在这里,负债情况显著拖累了36.6亿人民币的公司本身,就像一个孩子承受着背包装满书籍、体育器材和小号的巨大重量。因此,毫无疑问我们会密切关注其资产负债表。毕竟,如果要今天偿还债务,新黄浦集团很可能需要进行大规模再资本化。考虑到新黄浦集团的现金超过债务,我们非常有信心它可以处理债务,尽管总负债很高。

It is well worth noting that Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 46% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

值得注意的是,新黄浦集团的息税前利润(EBIt)在过去十二个月里迅速增长了46%。这将使其更容易管理债务。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的区域。但是,新黄浦集团的盈利将影响资产负债表未来的表现。因此,在考虑债务时,查看盈利趋势绝对是值得的。点击这里查看互动快照。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

最后,一家公司只能用冰冷的现金偿还债务,而不能用会计利润。新黄浦集团的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但查看企业将息税前利润(EBIt)转化为自由现金流的能力是非常有意思的,因为这将影响其管理债务的需求和能力。对于任何股东而言,新黄浦集团过去三年实际上创造的自由现金流多于息税前利润(EBIt)。在借款人看来,没有比入账现金更好的了。

Summing Up

总之

Although Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥1.98b. The cherry on top was that in converted 757% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥406m. So we are not troubled with Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group's debt use. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Shanghai New Huang Pu Industrial Group, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

虽然新黄浦工业集团的资产负债表并不是特别强大,由于总负债,但明显可以看到其净现金为人民币19.8亿。甚至更值得高兴的是,将其中757%的EBIt转化为自由现金流,带来了-40600万人民币。因此,我们对新黄浦工业集团的债务使用并不感到烦恼。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益而波动,所以如果您对新黄浦工业集团感兴趣,您可能会希望点击这里查看其每股收益历史的互动图表。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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