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CITIC Heavy Industries (SHSE:601608) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

CITIC Heavy Industries (SHSE:601608) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

中信重工 (SHSE:601608)强劲利润可能掩盖了一些潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  11/06 07:23

CITIC Heavy Industries Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601608) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

中信重工股份有限公司(SHSE:601608)最近强劲的盈利并没有对股票产生太大影响。我们认为股东已经注意到除了法定利润数字之外一些令人担忧的因素。

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SHSE:601608 Earnings and Revenue History November 5th 2024
SHSE:601608盈利和营业收入历史数据 2024年11月5日

In order to understand the potential for per share returns, it is essential to consider how much a company is diluting shareholders. As it happens, CITIC Heavy Industries issued 5.5% more new shares over the last year. As a result, its net income is now split between a greater number of shares. Per share metrics like EPS help us understand how much actual shareholders are benefitting from the company's profits, while the net income level gives us a better view of the company's absolute size. You can see a chart of CITIC Heavy Industries' EPS by clicking here.

为了了解每股收益的潜力,必须考虑公司对股东的稀释程度。事实上,中信重工过去一年发行了5.5%更多新股。因此,其净利润现在分摊到更多股份上。每股指标如每股收益(EPS)帮助我们了解股东实际从公司利润中获益的程度,而净利润水平更能让我们更好地了解公司的绝对规模。您可以点击这里查看中信重工的EPS图表。

How Is Dilution Impacting CITIC Heavy Industries' Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀释如何影响中信重工的每股收益(EPS)?

CITIC Heavy Industries has improved its profit over the last three years, with an annualized gain of 75% in that time. And at a glance the 84% gain in profit over the last year impresses. But in comparison, EPS only increased by 79% over the same period. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

中信重工过去三年提高了利润,年化增幅为75%。一目了然,过去一年利润增长了84%,令人印象深刻。但是相比之下,同期EPS仅增长了79%。因此,稀释对股东回报产生了显著影响。

Changes in the share price do tend to reflect changes in earnings per share, in the long run. So it will certainly be a positive for shareholders if CITIC Heavy Industries can grow EPS persistently. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

股价变动确实往往反映了每股收益的变化,从长期来看,如果中信重工能持续增长EPS,这对股东肯定是积极的。但另一方面,了解利润(而不是EPS)正在提高,我们会感到远没有那么兴奋。对于普通零售股东来说,EPS是一个很好的衡量标准,可以检查您在公司利润中的假设“分享”。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of CITIC Heavy Industries.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处查看我们对中信重工资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Finally, we should also consider the fact that unusual items boosted CITIC Heavy Industries' net profit by CN¥89m over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that CITIC Heavy Industries' positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

最后,我们还应考虑一个事实,飞凡项目在过去一年中为中信重工增加了8900万人民币的净利润。尽管我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当飞凡项目做出重大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大的飞凡项目通常不会重复出现。而且,终归,这正是会计术语所暗示的。我们可以看到,相对于2024年9月之前的年度利润,中信重工的正面飞凡项目相当显著。其他一切条件相等的情况下,这可能会导致法定利润对潜在收益能力的指导效果较差。

Our Take On CITIC Heavy Industries' Profit Performance

我们对中信重工的盈利表现的看法

In its last report CITIC Heavy Industries benefitted from unusual items which boosted its profit, which could make the profit seem better than it really is on a sustainable basis. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue CITIC Heavy Industries' profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. If you'd like to know more about CITIC Heavy Industries as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example - CITIC Heavy Industries has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

在其最新报告中,中信重工得益于飞凡项目,这提振了其利润,这可能会使利润在可持续基础上看起来比实际情况好。此外,稀释意味着其每股收益表现不如其利润表现。考虑到所有这些,我们认为中信重工的利润可能过分地展现了其可持续盈利水平的慷慨印象。如果您想更多了解中信重工作为一家企业,重要的是要意识到它面临的任何风险。例如 - 中信重工存在我们认为您应该了解的3个预警信号。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

在这篇文章中,我们已经看到了许多可以削弱利润数字实用性的因素,并且我们留下了审慎的心态。但是,如果您能够专注于细节,那么总能发现更多。一些人认为高股东回报率是优质企业的良好迹象。尽管这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个高股东回报率公司列表或至少有一个重要内部持股的股票列表对您有所帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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