Is Jinhai Medical Technology (HKG:2225) A Risky Investment?
Is Jinhai Medical Technology (HKG:2225) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jinhai Medical Technology Limited (HKG:2225) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
Howard Marks说得很好,与其担心股价波动,'永久损失的可能性是我担心的风险...我认识的每个实践投资者都担心这个。' 当我们考虑一家公司有多大风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它对债务的利用,因为债务超载可能导致毁灭。我们可以看到,金海医疗科技有限公司(HKG:2225)在业务中确实使用债务。但真正的问题是这笔债务是否让公司变得冒险。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业开始有困难偿还债务,要么通过新资本,要么通过自由现金流。在最糟糕的情况下,如果企业无法偿还债权人,可能会破产。然而,更常见(但仍令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,很多公司利用债务来支持增长,没有任何负面后果。当我们考虑企业使用债务时,首先看现金和债务总额。
What Is Jinhai Medical Technology's Debt?
金海医疗科技的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Jinhai Medical Technology had S$7.47m of debt, an increase on S$1.87m, over one year. However, it does have S$17.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of S$10.2m.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但数据显示,截至2024年6月,金海医疗科技负债747万新加坡元,较去年增加187万新加坡元。然而,公司拥有1770万新加坡元的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净现金为1020万新加坡元。
How Healthy Is Jinhai Medical Technology's Balance Sheet?
金海医疗科技的资产负债表健康状况如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Jinhai Medical Technology had liabilities of S$24.1m due within 12 months, and liabilities of S$3.05m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$17.7m as well as receivables valued at S$16.7m due within 12 months. So it can boast S$7.27m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根据最近披露的资产负债表,金海医疗科技有S$2410万的应付账款在12个月内到期,和S$305万的应付账款超过12个月到期。 相对于这些负债,它拥有S$1770万的现金以及价值S$1670万的应收款在12个月内到期。 因此,它拥有比总负债多出S$727万的流动资产。
This state of affairs indicates that Jinhai Medical Technology's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So while it's hard to imagine that the S$1.50b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Succinctly put, Jinhai Medical Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Jinhai Medical Technology's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
这种局面表明,金海医疗科技的资产负债表看起来相当稳健,因为其总负债大致等于其流动资产。 所以虽然很难想象这家市值15亿新币的公司会因为现金紧张而挣扎,但我们仍认为值得监控其资产负债表。 简而言之,金海医疗科技拥有净现金,因此可以说它没有重债务负担! 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务情况。 但正是金海医疗科技的盈利将影响未来资产负债表的表现。 因此,在考虑债务时,肯定值得关注盈利趋势。 点击这里查看互动快照。
In the last year Jinhai Medical Technology wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 205%, to S$60m. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!
在过去的一年中,金海医疗科技在EBIt层面上没有盈利,但成功将营业收入增长205%,达到S$6000万。 就营收增长而言,这就好比投进了决胜时刻的3分球!
So How Risky Is Jinhai Medical Technology?
那么金海医疗科技有多大风险?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And in the last year Jinhai Medical Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of S$1.6m and booked a S$10m accounting loss. With only S$10.2m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. The good news for shareholders is that Jinhai Medical Technology has dazzling revenue growth, so there's a very good chance it can boost its free cash flow in the years to come. While unprofitable companies can be risky, they can also grow hard and fast in those pre-profit years. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Jinhai Medical Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.
我们毫不怀疑,亏损公司总体上比盈利公司更具风险。 在过去一年中,金海医疗科技在利息和税前盈利(EBIT)上出现亏损,事实如此。 同期,它看到S$160万的负自由现金流和S$1000万的会计损失。 资产负债表只有S$1020万,似乎它很快就需要再次筹集资本。 股东的好消息是,金海医疗科技拥有令人炫目的营收增长,因此未来很有可能提升其自由现金流。 尽管无盈利公司可能存在风险,但它们在未盈利年份可以迅速增长。 毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中了解债务情况。 但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。 例如,我们发现了金海医疗科技的1个警示标志,您在投资之前应注意。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
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