Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's (SZSE:002903) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's (SZSE:002903) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
A lackluster earnings announcement from Yuhuan CNC Machine Tool Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002903) last week didn't sink the stock price. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
宇环数控(SZSE:002903)上周发布的业绩公告逊色一些,但并没有导致股价下跌。然而,我们认为投资者应该注意一些可能令人担忧的潜在因素。
Examining Cashflow Against Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's Earnings
审查宇环数控的现金流与盈利情况
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
用于衡量公司将其利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的一项关键财务比率是应计比率。要获得应计比率,我们首先将某一时期的FCF从利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期平均经营资产。您可以将来自现金流的应计比率视为“非FCF获利比例”。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所显示的更多。虽然拥有正的应计比率并不是问题,表明一定程度的非现金利润,但高应计比率可能是一件坏事,因为这表明纸面利润不能得到现金流支持。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往导致较低的利润或利润增长率。
For the year to September 2024, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥93m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥15.4m. Given that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥93m would seem to be a step in the right direction. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月,宇环数控的计提比率为-0.12。因此,其法定盈利明显低于其自由现金流。在该期间内,其产生了9300万人民币的自由现金流,远远超过了其1540万人民币的报告利润。考虑到宇环数控在之前对应期间的自由现金流为负值,达到9300万人民币的滚动十二个月结果似乎是朝着正确方向迈出的一步。话虽如此,事情并不止于此。我们可以看到飞凡因素影响了其法定利润,从而影响了计提比率。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
Surprisingly, given Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥12m in unusual items. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
鉴于宇环数控的应计比率意味着强劲的现金转换能力,其纸面利润实际上由飞凡项目增加了1200万人民币。 虽然获得更高利润总是件好事,但飞凡项目所贡献的大部分利润有时会减弱我们的热情。 当我们分析了全球大多数上市公司时,我们发现显著的飞凡项目通常不会重复出现,这一点并不奇怪,考虑到其名称。 我们可以看到,相对于2024年9月的利润来看,宇环数控的正面飞凡项目在很大程度上是显著的。 其他一切相同的情况下,这可能会对使法定利润成为核心盈利能力的指导可能会产生负面影响。
Our Take On Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's Profit Performance
我们对宇环数控的利润表现的看法
In conclusion, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd.
总之,宇环数控的应计比率表明其法定利润质量良好,但利润受到飞凡项目提振。 基于这些因素,我们认为宇环数控的法定利润很少会使其看起来比实际情况更弱。 鉴于这一点,如果您想对该公司进行更多分析,了解涉及的风险是至关重要的。 例如,我们发现了4个警示信号,您应该仔细观察,以更好地了解宇环数控。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在本文中,我们已经考虑了许多因素,这些因素可能会影响利润数字作为业务指南的效用。但如果您有能力专注于细节,总是可以发现更多。例如,许多人认为高净资产回报率是有利的业务经济指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人员正在买入的股票。尽管这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的高净资产回报率的公司集合,或者这个持有重要内部股权的股票清单是有用的。
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