Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's (SZSE:301057) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's (SZSE:301057) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
A lackluster earnings announcement from Zhejiang Huilong New Materials Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301057) last week didn't sink the stock price. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.
上周浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司(SZSE:301057)发布的业绩报告表现平平,并没有拖累股价。我们认为投资者担心的是业绩背后一些弱点。
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A Closer Look At Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's Earnings
深入研究浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司的业绩
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
许多投资者没有听说过现金流的权责发生制比率,但实际上它是一个衡量公司在一定时期内利润受自由现金流(FCF)支持程度的有用指标。该权责发生制比率将给定期间的自由现金流从利润中减去,并将结果除以公司在此期间的平均营运资产。该比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少是不受自由现金流支持的。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负面预提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司所获得的自由现金流比其利润所示的要多。这并不意味着我们应该担心正面的预提比率,但值得注意的是,如果预提比率很高的话就要考虑这个问题。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇论文:“预提较高的公司未来的盈利能力较低”。
For the year to September 2024, Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.44. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥254m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥35.7m. We also note that Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥254m.
截至2024年9月,浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司的应计比率为0.44。统计数据显示,这对未来的盈利实际上是一个负面因素。事实上,在这段期间,该公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去一年中,它实际上出现了人民币25400万的负自由现金流,与前述的3570万利润形成对比。我们还注意到,浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司去年的自由现金流也是负数,所以我们能理解股东会对其2.54亿人民币的流出感到担忧。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。请点击这里查看我们对浙江汇龙新材料股份有限公司资产负债表的分析。
Our Take On Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's Profit Performance
关于浙江多隆新材料有限公司利润表现的看法
As we discussed above, we think Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Be aware that Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis and 2 of those are potentially serious...
正如我们上面讨论的,我们认为浙江多隆新材料有限公司的盈利并不受自由现金流支持,这可能引起一些投资者的关注。因此,我们认为浙江多隆新材料有限公司的基本盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。遗憾的是,其每股收益在过去12个月下降。本文的目标是评估我们能否依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多要考虑的地方。如果您想深入了解浙江多隆新材料有限公司,还应考虑到它目前面临的风险。请注意,我们的投资分析中显示浙江多隆新材料有限公司有3个警示信号,其中有2个可能是严重的...
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Zhejiang Huilong New MaterialsLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
这篇笔记只研究了揭示浙江多隆新材料有限公司利润性质的单一因素。但如果你能够将注意力集中在细微之处,总会发现更多。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人员正在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个拥有高股本回报率公司的免费收藏或这份具有重要内部持股的股票清单是有用的。
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