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Why Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301421) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Why Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301421) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

南京波长光电科技股份有限公司(SZSE:301421)不稳定的收益只是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  11/06 08:18

The subdued market reaction suggests that Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301421) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

疲软的市场反应表明,南京波长光电科技有限责任公司, Ltd. 's(深圳证券交易所代码:301421)最近的收益没有任何意外。我们认为,投资者担心收益背后的一些弱点。

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SZSE:301421 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SZSE: 301421 2024 年 11 月 6 日的收益和收入历史记录

Zooming In On Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's Earnings

放大南京波长光电科技有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负应计比率对公司来说是正数,正应计比率是负数。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计比率为正,但值得注意的是,应计比率相当高的地方。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司未来的利润往往较低”。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.39. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥133m despite its profit of CN¥42.3m, mentioned above. We also note that Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥133m.

在截至2024年9月的十二个月中,南京波长光电科技有限公司的应计比率为0.39。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。在过去的十二个月中,它的自由现金流实际上为负数,尽管如上所述,其利润为4230万元人民币,但流出量仍为13300万元人民币。我们还注意到,南京波长光电科技有限公司去年的自由现金流实际上也是负的,因此我们可以理解股东是否被其13300万元人民币的流出所困扰。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以点击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对南京波长光电科技有限公司盈利表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,我们认为南京波长光电科技有限公司的收益没有得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会让一些投资者感到担忧。因此,我们认为南京波长光电科技有限公司的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。不幸的是,在过去的十二个月中,其每股收益有所下降。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑南京波长光电科技有限公司目前面临的风险同样重要。为了解决这个问题,我们发现了 3 个警告信号(2 个有点不愉快!)在购买南京波长光电科技有限公司的任何股票之前,你应该注意这一点

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Nanjing Wavelength Opto-Electronic Science & TechnologyLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

这份报告只研究了揭示南京波长光电科技有限公司利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份拥有大量内幕持股的股票清单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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