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Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's (SHSE:601366) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's (SHSE:601366) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

利群商业集团有限公司(SHSE:601366)的盈利可能比你想象的要弱
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/06 08:07

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601366) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.

股东似乎对利群股份有限公司(SHSE:601366)最近的收益报告并不感到满意,尽管利润数字健康。我们的分析表明,他们可能关注一些潜在细节。

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SHSE:601366 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SHSE:601366盈利和营业收入历史 2024年11月6日

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Liqun Commercial GroupLtd issued 5.8% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's EPS by clicking here.

要了解公司盈利增长的价值,必须考虑股东利益的任何稀释。事实上,利群股份有限公司在过去一年中发行了更多的新股,多出5.8%。因此,现在每股获得的利润份额较少。单论净利润,如果不注意每股收益,就会被大数字分散注意力,而忽略了跟每股价值相关的小数字。您可以点击此处查看利群股份有限公司的EPS图表。

A Look At The Impact Of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

对利群股份有限公司稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响进行分析

We don't have any data on the company's profits from three years ago. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

我们没有关于该公司三年前的利润数据。回顾过去一年,我们仍无法连贯地谈论增长率,因为去年亏损了。我们知道的是,虽然看到过去十二个月有利润是好的,但如果公司不需要发行股份,每股利润会更好。因此,这种稀释对股东回报产生了显著影响。

If Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

如果利群股份有限公司的每股收益能够随时间增长,那将显着提高股价朝着同一方向移动的可能性。然而,如果其利润增加而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能不会获得太多好处。因此,在长远看来,您可以说EPS比净利润更重要,假设目标是评估公司股价是否会增长。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd.

注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击这里查看我们对利群股份有限公司资产负债表分析。

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥128m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

除了发行股份,还值得注意的是利群商贸股份有限公司过去十二个月净利润受到了价值12800万人民币的飞凡项目的提振。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了数据分析,发现飞凡项目一般都是一次性的。这并不奇怪,鉴于名称。我们可以看到,相对于2024年9月的利润,利群商贸股份有限公司的正面飞凡项目相当显著。其他条件相同的情况下,这可能会导致法定利润不是衡量核心盈利能力的好指标。

Our Take On Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's Profit Performance

我们对利群商贸股份有限公司的利润表现的看法

To sum it all up, Liqun Commercial GroupLtd got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Our analysis shows 5 warning signs for Liqun Commercial GroupLtd (2 are a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

总的来说,利群商贸股份有限公司因飞凡项目而获得了利润的良好提升;如果没有这个项目,其法定结果将看起来更糟。此外,股份稀释意味着其每股收益表现比其利润表现更差。考虑到这一切,我们认为利群商贸股份有限公司的利润可能给出了其可持续盈利水平过于慷慨的印象。在此基础上,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。我们的分析显示利群商贸股份有限公司存在5个警示信号(其中2个有点不愉快!),在您投资前强烈建议您查看。

Our examination of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我们对利群商贸股份有限公司的检查聚焦于某些因素,可能会让其盈利看起来比实际情况要好。基于这一点,我们有些持怀疑态度。但如果您能将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多发现。例如,许多人将高净资产回报视为有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人喜欢‘跟踪资金’,寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要您做一些研究,但您可能会发现这份免费的公司名单中具有高净资产回报率,或者这份内部持股数量庞大的股票名单很有用。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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