COFCO Technology & Industry's (SZSE:301058) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues
COFCO Technology & Industry's (SZSE:301058) Profits Appear To Have Quality Issues
The recent earnings posted by COFCO Technology & Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301058) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.
中粮科技产业股份有限公司(SZSE:301058)近期公布的收益稳健,但股价没有如我们预期的那样大幅上涨。我们认为股东已经注意到一些超出法定利润数字的令人担忧因素。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
Importantly, our data indicates that COFCO Technology & Industry's profit received a boost of CN¥16m in unusual items, over the last year. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
重要的是,我们的数据显示中粮科技产业去年的利润在飞凡项目中获得了1600万人民币的提振。虽然利润增加总是令人高兴的,但来自飞凡项目的大幅贡献有时会减弱我们的热情。当我们分析了成千上万家上市公司的数据后,我们发现一年中来自飞凡项目的提振通常不会在下一年重复。考虑到其名称,这并不令人惊讶。假设这些飞凡项目不会再次出现在今年,我们预计明年的利润将较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
Our Take On COFCO Technology & Industry's Profit Performance
我们对中粮科技产业的利润表现看法
We'd posit that COFCO Technology & Industry's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Because of this, we think that it may be that COFCO Technology & Industry's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 16% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for COFCO Technology & Industry you should be aware of.
我们认为中粮科技与行业的法定收益并不完全反映正在进行的生产力,这主要是因为存在大额的飞凡项目。因此,我们认为中粮科技与行业的法定利润可能优于其基本盈利能力。尽管如此,值得注意的是,其每股收盈增长了16%。当然,在分析其收益时,我们只是触及了表面;人们还可以考虑边际利润、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。因此,如果您想深入了解这支股票,考虑任何风险至关重要。举个例子:我们注意到中粮科技与行业存在2个警示信号,您应该注意。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of COFCO Technology & Industry's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
这篇笔记只关注了一个因素,揭示了中粮科技与行业利润性质的本质。但了解一个公司的观点还有很多其他方法。有些人认为良好的股本回报是一个优质企业的良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这些拥有良好股本回报率的公司免费信息,或者这些拥有重要内部股权的公司股票清单非常有用。
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