China Design Group's (SHSE:603018) 8.5% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
China Design Group's (SHSE:603018) 8.5% CAGR Outpaced the Company's Earnings Growth Over the Same Five-year Period
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. And the truth is, you can make significant gains if you buy good quality businesses at the right price. To wit, the China Design Group share price has climbed 31% in five years, easily topping the market return of 19% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 20%, including dividends.
在投资时,我们通常寻找股票的收益要高于市场平均水平。 事实上,如果您以合适的价格购买优质企业,您可以获得显著的收益。 举例来说,华设集团股价在五年内上涨了31%,远远超过了市场回报率的19%(不考虑分红)。 另一方面,最近的收益并不那么令人印象深刻,股东们仅获得了20%的回报,包括分红。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在稳定的七天表现之后,让我们看看公司的基本面对长期股东回报的影响。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章《格雷厄姆-多德斯维尔的超级投资人》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是理性地反映公司价值的情况。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股票价格进行比较。
During five years of share price growth, China Design Group achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 4.7% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 6% average annual increase in the share price. That suggests that the market sentiment around the company hasn't changed much over that time. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.
在五年的股价增长期间,华设集团实现了每股收益(EPS)复合增长率达到每年4.7%。 这种EPS增长率与每年6%的股价平均增长率相当接近。 这表明该公司周围的市场情绪在这段时间内并未发生太大变化。 实际上,股价似乎在很大程度上反映了EPS的增长。
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
下图显示了EPS随时间的变化情况(如果您单击该图像,则可以查看更多详细信息)。
Dive deeper into China Design Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of China Design Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
通过查看华设集团收益、营业收入和现金流的互动图表,深入了解华设集团的关键指标。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for China Design Group the TSR over the last 5 years was 51%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报率(TSR)与股价回报之间的差异。 TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设任何收到的股息都进行了再投资)以及任何折扣后的增发和剥离的计算价值。因此,对于支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR往往远高于股价回报。我们注意到,华设集团过去5年的TSR为51%,比上述股价回报要好。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
It's nice to see that China Design Group shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 20% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 9% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with China Design Group .
很高兴看到华设集团股东在过去一年中获得了20%的总股东回报。当然,这包括股息。由于一年的TSR优于五年的TSR(后者每年为9%),似乎股票的表现近期有所改善。持乐观态度的人可能认为TSR的最近提高表明业务本身随时间变得更好。我发现长期关注股价作为业务表现的代理很有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。为此,您应该注意我们在华设集团发现的1个警告标志。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您愿意查看另一家公司(具有潜在的更好财务状况),请不要错过这个免费的公司列表,证明它们可以增长收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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