Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument's (SZSE:301512) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument's (SZSE:301512) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Investors were disappointed by Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301512 ) latest earnings release. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.
投资者对深圳市智能精密仪器股份有限公司(SZSE:301512)最新的财报发布感到失望。我们进行了一些分析,发现对于这些主要数据值得谨慎一些。
Zooming In On Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument's Earnings
聚焦深圳市智能精密仪器的盈利
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
正如金融迷已知,从现金流量的计提比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配情况的关键指标。简而言之,这个比率会从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间公司的平均经营资产。您可以将现金流计提比率视为“非FCF利润比率”。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,负净应计比率对公司来说是一个积极的因素,而正净应计比率则是一个消极因素。虽然净应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为,当一个公司的净应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高净应计比率通常是短期利润的一个不良迹象。
Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument has an accrual ratio of 0.26 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥109m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥12.3m. It's worth noting that Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument generated positive FCF of CN¥3.2m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2024年9月,深圳市智能精密仪器的应计比例为0.26。因此,我们知道它的自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,这并不是一件好事。在过去的一年里,它实际上有负的自由现金流达到10900万元人民币,与前述的盈利1230万元人民币形成对比。值得注意的是,深圳市智能精密仪器在一年前创造了320万元人民币的正的自由现金流,所以至少他们过去有成功记录。话虽如此,故事还有更多内容。应计比例反映了异常项目对法定利润的影响,至少在一定程度上。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的健康状况。点击这里查看深圳市智能精密仪器的资产负债表分析。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥1.2m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).
考虑到应计比率,深圳智能精密仪器的净利润在过去十二个月中受益于价值120万元的飞凡项目,这并不让人过分惊讶。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增长,但当飞凡项目做出巨大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。我们对全球大多数上市公司进行了数据分析,发现飞凡项目一次性的情况非常普遍。考虑到其名称,这也不足为奇。假设这些飞凡项目在当年不再出现,那么在没有业务增长的情况下,我们预计明年的利润将较弱。
Our Take On Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument's Profit Performance
我们对深圳智能精密仪器的盈利表现持这样的看法
Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (3 don't sit too well with us!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shenzhen Intelligent Precision Instrument.
深圳智能精密仪器的应计比率较低,但其利润确实受益于飞凡项目。出于上述原因,我们认为,简单浏览深圳智能精密仪器的法定盈利可能会使其看起来比实际情况更好。因此,如果您想深入了解这支股票,关注其面临的任何风险是至关重要的。为了帮助您,我们发现了4个警示信号(3个让我们感到担忧!),在购买深圳智能精密仪器的股票之前,您应该意识到这些风险。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我们看过了许多会削弱利润数字效用的因素,并且我们对其持谨慎态度。但是,还有许多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。例如,许多人认为高净资产回报率是有利的企业经济指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人员正在购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看此免费高净资产回报率公司集合,或者这个高内部持股的股票列表。
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