DEPPON LOGISTICS (SHSE:603056) Could Easily Take On More Debt
DEPPON LOGISTICS (SHSE:603056) Could Easily Take On More Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that DEPPON LOGISTICS Co., LTD. (SHSE:603056) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
传奇基金经理李录(受查理·芒格支持)曾经说过,“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是是否会遭受永久性的资本损失”。当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过载可能导致毁灭。我们可以看到,德邦股份股份有限公司(SHSE:603056)在业务中使用债务。但真正的问题是,这些债务是否让公司变得风险很高。
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般来说,债务只有在一家公司无法通过融资或自有现金流轻松偿还时才会成为真正的问题。资本主义的一个重要内容是“创造性毁灭”过程,在那里失败的企业会被它们的银行无情清算。尽管这种情况并不常见,我们经常看到负债公司因为债权人强迫它们以压力价位筹集资本而永久性地稀释股东。当然,很多公司使用债务来支持增长,而没有任何负面影响。当我们审视债务水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。
What Is DEPPON LOGISTICS's Net Debt?
德邦股份的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that DEPPON LOGISTICS had CN¥1.78b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥2.67b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.14b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.36b net cash.
您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数字,但显示德邦股份在2024年9月的债务为17.8亿人民币,比一年前的26.7亿人民币有所减少。然而,其资产负债表显示其持有31.4亿人民币现金,因此实际上拥有13.6亿人民币净现金。
A Look At DEPPON LOGISTICS' Liabilities
了解德邦物流的负债情况
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that DEPPON LOGISTICS had liabilities of CN¥6.85b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.78b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.14b in cash and CN¥3.96b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.53b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表中看到,德邦物流的短期负债为68.5亿人民币,而长期负债为17.8亿人民币。 抵消这些负债,德邦物流有31.4亿人民币的现金和39.6亿人民币的应收款项在12个月内到期。 因此,它的负债总额比其现金和近期应收款项总和多15.3亿人民币。
Since publicly traded DEPPON LOGISTICS shares are worth a total of CN¥14.7b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, DEPPON LOGISTICS also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
由于德邦物流的上市股票总值为147亿人民币,这种水平的负债似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。 但是,我们认为值得密切关注其资产负债表的实力,因为它可能随时间而变化。 尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但德邦物流的现金比债务更多,所以我们非常有信心它能够安全地管理债务。
In addition to that, we're happy to report that DEPPON LOGISTICS has boosted its EBIT by 56%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DEPPON LOGISTICS can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
除此之外,我们很高兴地报告说德邦物流通过56%来增加其EBIt,从而减少未来债务偿还的风险。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是重点关注的领域。 但最终业务未来的盈利能力将决定德邦物流是否能够随时间加强其资产负债表。 因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. DEPPON LOGISTICS may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, DEPPON LOGISTICS actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
最后,公司只能用冰冷的现金支付债务,而不是会计利润。 德邦物流的资产负债表可能会有净现金,但看看企业将其利息和税前收入(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,将影响到其管理债务的需求和能力。 令股东高兴的是,德邦物流实际上在过去三年中产生的自由现金流比EBIt多。 这种强劲的现金转化让我们像在Daft Punk音乐会上节拍降临时的人群一样兴奋。
Summing Up
总之
While DEPPON LOGISTICS does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥1.36b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥2.2b, being 299% of its EBIT. So is DEPPON LOGISTICS's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for DEPPON LOGISTICS you should be aware of.
尽管德邦股份的负债比流动资产多,但其净现金为13.6亿人民币。而且其自由现金流达到22亿人民币,达到其EBIT的299%。那么德邦股份的债务是否构成风险?在我们看来似乎并非如此。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。举个例子:我们已经发现 德邦股份 存在1个警示信号,您应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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