Is Donaldson Company (NYSE:DCI) A Risky Investment?
Is Donaldson Company (NYSE:DCI) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Donaldson Company, Inc. (NYSE:DCI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人认为,作为投资者,最好的风险思考方式不是债务,而是波动性,但沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过'波动性与风险远非同义词。' 因此,在考虑任何特定股票有多有风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。我们注意到唐纳森公司(纽交所: DCI)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东们应该担心它的债务使用吗?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无力偿还债权人,那么它就处于他们的掌控之下。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以控制企业。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到有负债的公司因为债权人迫使它们以低于市价的价格募集资本而不得不永久稀释股东权益。话虽如此,最常见的情况是,公司合理地管理其债务,并处理得当,从而获得自己的利益。考虑企业的债务水平的第一步是同时考虑企业的现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Donaldson Company Carry?
唐纳森公司负债有多少?
As you can see below, Donaldson Company had US$536.7m of debt at July 2024, down from US$655.7m a year prior. However, it does have US$232.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$304.0m.
正如您所见,唐纳森公司在2024年7月的债务金额为53670万美元,比去年同期的65570万美元有所减少。然而,它确实有23270万美元的现金来抵消这一点,导致净债务约为30400万美元。
A Look At Donaldson Company's Liabilities
唐纳森公司负债情况一览
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Donaldson Company had liabilities of US$782.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$642.7m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$232.7m as well as receivables valued at US$645.6m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$546.9m.
通过查看最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到唐纳森公司有短期负债78250万美元,以及超过12个月的负债64270万美元。 抵消这些义务,它还有短期现金23270万美元,以及在12个月内到期的应收款64560万美元。 因此,其负债超过了其现金和(短期)应收款的总和54690万美元。
Of course, Donaldson Company has a market capitalization of US$8.91b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
当然,唐纳森公司的市值为89.1亿美元,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。 话虽如此,显然我们应继续监控其资产负债表,以防情况变得更糟。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。
Donaldson Company's net debt is only 0.47 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 25.7 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Fortunately, Donaldson Company grew its EBIT by 9.3% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Donaldson Company can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
唐纳森公司的净债务仅为其EBITDA的0.47倍。 其EBIT轻松覆盖了利息支出,是其25.7倍之多。 因此,你可以说它对债务的威胁不比大象对老鼠的威胁更大。 幸运的是,唐纳森公司去年EBIT增长了9.3%,使得债务负担看起来更易管理。 在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。 但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定唐纳森公司是否可以随着时间加强其资产负债表。 因此,如果你专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告,显示分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Donaldson Company produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 67% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最后,一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。 因此,我们明显需要查看这些EBIT是否导致相应的自由现金流。 在过去的三年中,唐纳森公司产生了强劲的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的67%,这正是我们预期的。 这笔实实在在的现金意味着它可以随时减少债务。
Our View
我们的观点
The good news is that Donaldson Company's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Looking at the bigger picture, we think Donaldson Company's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. While debt does bring risk, when used wisely it can also bring a higher return on equity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Donaldson Company that you should be aware of before investing here.
好消息是,唐纳森公司展示了用其EBIT支付利息费用的能力,这让我们感到像小幼儿看到小毛熊一样开心。而好消息并不止于此,因为其净债务对EBITDA的比率也支持这种印象!从更宏观的角度来看,我们认为唐纳森公司对债务的使用似乎相当合理,我们对此并不担忧。尽管债务确实带来风险,但当明智使用时,也可以带来更高的股本回报率。分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。例如,我们发现了唐纳森公司的一个警告标志,您在投资之前应该注意这一点。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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