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SAIC Motor's (SHSE:600104) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

SAIC Motor's (SHSE:600104) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

上汽集团(SHSE:600104)的问题不仅仅是利润疲软。
Simply Wall St ·  11/06 17:11

SAIC Motor Corporation Limited's (SHSE:600104) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.

上汽集团有限公司(SHSE:600104)最近的业绩报告不强劲,并未引起股价大幅波动。然而,我们认为投资者应该注意一些潜在的令人担忧的因素。

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SHSE:600104 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SHSE:600104每股收益和营业收入历史数据2024年11月6日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Importantly, our data indicates that SAIC Motor's profit received a boost of CN¥3.3b in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. We can see that SAIC Motor's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

重要的是,我们的数据显示,上汽集团利润在过去一年中因飞凡项目获得了33亿人民币的提振。高利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能持续下去。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重要的飞凡项目通常不会重复出现。毕竟,这正是会计术语所暗示的。我们可以看到,相对于2024年9月的利润,上汽集团的积极飞凡项目非常突出。因此,我们可以推断,这些飞凡项目使其法定利润显著强于否则将会有的情况。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On SAIC Motor's Profit Performance

我们对上汽集团的利润表现的看法

As we discussed above, we think the significant positive unusual item makes SAIC Motor's earnings a poor guide to its underlying profitability. As a result, we think it may well be the case that SAIC Motor's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with SAIC Motor, and understanding these bad boys should be part of your investment process.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,我们认为重大正飞凡项目使得上汽集团的收益不再是其潜在盈利能力的良好指引。因此,我们认为上汽集团的潜在盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。遗憾的是,其每股收益在过去12个月中下降。当然,当涉及分析其收益时,我们仅仅是在表面上涉及了一点;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。鉴于此,除非我们对风险有彻底的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。在投资风险方面,我们已经发现了上汽集团的两个警告信号,了解这些坏消息应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of SAIC Motor's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

这则说明仅考虑了一项能揭示上汽集团利润性质的单一因素。但如果您能专注于细枝末节,还有更多发现等待着您。例如,许多人将高净资产回报率视为有利的业务经济迹象,而其他人则喜欢‘追踪资金’,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这些拥有高净资产回报率的公司的免费收藏,或者寻找这些具有高内部所有权的股票清单。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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