CCCC Design & Consulting Group's (SHSE:600720) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential
CCCC Design & Consulting Group's (SHSE:600720) Profits May Be Overstating Its True Earnings Potential
CCCC Design & Consulting Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600720) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis has found some concerning factors which weaken the profit's foundation.
中国建筑设计与咨询集团股份有限公司(SHSE:600720)发布了一些不错的收益,但股东们没有强烈反应。我们的分析发现了一些令人担忧的因素,削弱了利润的基础。
Zooming In On CCCC Design & Consulting Group's Earnings
聚焦中国建筑设计与咨询集团的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融迷所知,现金流量的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利状况匹配程度的重要指标。要获得应计比率,我们首先要将某个时期的FCF从盈利中减去,然后将该数字除以该时期的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司多少盈利没有由自由现金流备支。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,当一家公司的应计项目比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计项目比率为正,则是一件坏事。这并不意味着我们应该担心应计项目比率为正,但值得注意的是,当应计项目比率相当高时,可能会导致利润或利润增长降低。
CCCC Design & Consulting Group has an accrual ratio of 0.45 for the year to September 2024. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥1.98b, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥1.9b in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥113m a year ago though, so CCCC Design & Consulting Group has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. Notably, the company has issued new shares, thus diluting existing shareholders and reducing their share of future earnings.
中国建筑设计与咨询集团截至2024年9月的年度应计率为0.45。从统计数据来看,这对未来收益是真正的负面因素。也就是说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管报告了19.8亿人民币的利润,但从自由现金流角度来看,实际上在过去一年内损耗了19亿人民币。我们看到,一年前的自由现金流为11300万人民币,因此中国建筑设计与咨询集团至少能够在过去产生正的现金流。值得注意的是,公司发行了新股,从而稀释了现有股东的股份,减少了他们在未来收益中所占的份额。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. CCCC Design & Consulting Group expanded the number of shares on issue by 196% over the last year. That means its earnings are split among a greater number of shares. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out CCCC Design & Consulting Group's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
要了解一家公司盈利增长的价值,必须考虑股东权益的任何稀释。CCCC设计与咨询集团过去一年已经将发行股份数量扩大了196%。这意味着其盈利将分配给更多的股份。谈论净利润,而不注意每股收益,就是被大数字分心,而忽略表明每股价值的小数字。点击这个链接查看CCCC设计与咨询集团的历史每股收益成长。
A Look At The Impact Of CCCC Design & Consulting Group's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)
探究CCCC设计与咨询集团股份稀释对其每股收益(EPS)的影响
As you can see above, CCCC Design & Consulting Group has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 110% over three years. But on the other hand, earnings per share actually fell by 21% per year. And the 22% profit boost in the last year certainly seems impressive at first glance. But earnings per share are actually down 9.0%, over the last twelve months. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is having a rather significant impact on shareholders.
正如您在上面所看到的,CCCC设计与咨询集团过去几年一直在增长其净利润,年化增长率为3年110%。但另一方面,每股收益实际上每年下降了21%。而过去一年的22%利润增长看起来确实令人印象深刻。但每股收益实际上在过去12个月下降了9.0%。因此,您可以清楚地看到稀释对股东造成了相当大的影响。
If CCCC Design & Consulting Group's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.
如果CCCC设计与咨询集团的每股收益能随时间增长,那就极大地提高了股价朝着同一方向运动的可能性。但另一方面,要知道利润(但不包括每股收益)正在改善,我们不会那么兴奋。因此,可以说在长期看来,每股收益比净利润更为重要,假设目标是评估一家公司的股价可能增长。
Our Take On CCCC Design & Consulting Group's Profit Performance
我们对CCCC设计与咨询集团的盈利表现看法
In conclusion, CCCC Design & Consulting Group has weak cashflow relative to earnings, which indicates lower quality earnings, and the dilution means that shareholders now own a smaller proportion of the company (assuming they maintained the same number of shares). On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that CCCC Design & Consulting Group'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for CCCC Design & Consulting Group you should be mindful of and 2 of these bad boys are potentially serious.
总的来说,相对于盈利能力,CCCC设计与咨询集团的现金流相对较弱,这表明盈利质量较低,并且稀释意味着股东现在拥有的公司比例较小(假定他们保持相同数量的股份)。在反思中,上述因素让我们强烈感觉到,基于法定利润数字,CCCC设计与咨询集团的基础盈利能力并不像表面上看起来那么好。考虑到这一点,除非我们充分了解风险,否则不考虑投资股票。例如:我们已经发现了CCCC设计与咨询集团的3个警示信号,您应该注意其中的2个问题可能严重。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我们已经看到了可以损害利润数字实用性的许多因素,而且我们已经变得谨慎。但是,如果您能够将注意力集中在细节上,则总有更多发现。有些人认为高净资产回报率是高质量企业的一个好标志。因此,您可能希望查看这个高净资产回报率的免费公司收集,或这个高内部所有权的股票清单。
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