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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Langfang Development's (SHSE:600149) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Langfang Development's (SHSE:600149) Earnings

我们认为廊坊发展(SHSE:600149)的盈利存在潜在问题
Simply Wall St ·  11/07 06:33

Unsurprisingly, Langfang Development Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600149) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy earnings report. However, we think that shareholders may be missing some concerning details in the numbers.

不出所料,廊坊发展股份有限公司(SHSE:600149)的股价在健康盈利报告的推动下走强。然而,我们认为股东们可能忽略了数字中一些令人担忧的细节。

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SHSE:600149 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SHSE:600149盈利和营业收入历史 2024年11月6日

A Closer Look At Langfang Development's Earnings

深入了解廊坊发展的盈利能力

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

用于衡量公司将其盈利转换成自由现金流(FCF)的一个关键财务比率是应计比率。为了得出应计比率,我们首先从一个期间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以期间的平均经营资产。这个比率告诉我们公司利润有多少不受自由现金流支持。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,当一家公司的净应计流量比率为负数时,实际上它被认为是一件好事,但是如果它的应计流量比率为正数,那么就是一件坏事了。尽管应计流量比率高于零时并不值得担忧,但当一家公司的应计流量比率相对较高时,我们认为值得注意。原因是一些学术研究表明高的应计比率往往导致利润或利润增长较少。

Langfang Development has an accrual ratio of 0.47 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥19m despite its profit of CN¥67.2m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Langfang Development generated positive FCF of CN¥9.6m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Langfang Development's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2024年9月,廊坊发展的应计比率为0.47。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力不利。确实,在这段时间内,公司并没有产生任何自由现金流。在过去的十二个月里,尽管其盈利为6720万人民币,但实际上自由现金流为负1900万人民币。 值得注意的是,廊坊发展一年前产生了960万人民币的正自由现金流,至少他们在过去做到了。对股东来说,好消息是,廊坊发展的应计比率去年要好得多,因此今年的糟糕表现可能只是盈利和自由现金流之间的短期不匹配情况。如果确实如此,股东应该寻找相对于利润而言今年是否有改善的现金流情况。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Langfang Development.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击此处查看我们对廊坊发展的资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Langfang Development's Profit Performance

我们对廊坊发展的盈利表现持乐观态度

As we discussed above, we think Langfang Development's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Langfang Development's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. The good news is that it earned a profit in the last twelve months, despite its previous loss. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Langfang Development you should know about.

正如我们上面讨论的那样,我们认为廊坊发展的收益并不由自由现金流支持,这可能会引起一些投资者的关注。因此,我们认为廊坊发展的潜在盈利能力很可能低于其法定利润。好消息是,尽管之前亏损,但在过去的十二个月中它实现了盈利。本文的目标是评估我们能否依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多要考虑的。请记住,当分析股票时,值得注意涉及的风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现了廊坊发展的1个警示信号,您应该了解。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Langfang Development's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天我们聚焦于一个数据点,以更好地了解廊坊发展的盈利性质。但如果您能专注于细微之处,总会有更多发现。例如,许多人认为高净资产回报是有利的商业经济指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”并寻找内部人员在购买的股票。尽管这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的公司收藏具有高净资产回报率,或 股份内部持股有意义的股票清单 对您有所帮助。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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