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Concerns Surrounding Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's (HKG:3898) Performance

Concerns Surrounding Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's (HKG:3898) Performance

关于株洲中国中车时代电气(HKG:3898)表现的担忧
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 06:46

Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:3898) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

中车时代电气(Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd.)(HKG:3898)最近强劲的收益并没有对股票有太大影响。我们认为股东已经注意到一些超出法定利润数字的令人担忧的因素。

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SEHK:3898 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SEHK:3898收益和营业收入历史数据2024年11月6日

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。

Importantly, our data indicates that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's profit received a boost of CN¥498m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

重要的是,我们的数据显示,中车时代电气(Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric)的利润在过去一年中因飞凡项目获得了人民币49800万元的提振。我们不能否认,更高的利润通常让我们感到乐观,但我们更希望利润能够持续。当我们分析了成千上万家上市公司的数据后,我们发现一年中因飞凡项目获得的提振通常不会在下一年重复出现。而且,毕竟,这正是会计术语所暗示的。假设这些飞凡项目不会在当前年度再次出现,那么我们预计明年的利润会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's Profit Performance

我们对中车时代电气的利润表现的看法

We'd posit that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 35% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Obviously, we love to consider the historical data to inform our opinion of a company. But it can be really valuable to consider what other analysts are forecasting. Luckily, you can check out what analysts are forecasting by clicking here.

我们认为株洲中车时代电气的法定收益并不是对持续生产力的清晰判断,这是因为有一个很大的飞凡项目。因此,对于我们来说,株洲中车时代电气真正的基本盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。尽管如此,还是值得注意的是其每股盈利在过去三年里增长了35%。当然,当我们分析其盈利时,我们只是触及皮毛;人们也可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。显然,我们喜欢考虑历史数据来指导我们对公司的看法。但考虑其他分析师的预测也是非常有价值的。幸运的是,您可以通过单击此处查看分析师的预测。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我们将目光聚焦在一个单一数据点上,以更好地了解株洲中车时代电气利润的性质。但如果您能专心研究细微之处,总会有更多发现。有些人认为高股权回报率是质量良好的业务的一个良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这些拥有高股权回报率的公司集合,或者这些持有大量内部股权的股票清单是有用的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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