Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's (SZSE:002306) Earnings Might Not Be As Promising As They Seem
Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's (SZSE:002306) Earnings Might Not Be As Promising As They Seem
Cloud Live Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002306) posted some decent earnings, but shareholders didn't react strongly. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.
中科云网股份有限公司(SZSE:002306)发布了一些体面的收益,但股东们反应并不强烈。我们的分析表明,他们可能担心一些潜在的细节。
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Examining Cashflow Against Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's Earnings
审查中科云网股份有限公司的现金流与收益情况
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
许多投资者没有听说过现金流量净额的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司利润在一个给定期间内是否有自由现金流(FCF)支持的有用指标。我们首先将FCF从一个期间的利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。这个比率告诉我们,公司利润有多少不是由自由现金流支持的。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
这意味着负的计提比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然拥有正的计提比率毫无问题,表明某种程度的非现金利润,但高的计提比率则是一个坏信号,因为这表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高的计提比率对近期利润总体上是一个坏兆头。
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.58. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥54m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥11.4m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥54m, this year, indicates high risk. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月的十二个月内,中科云网股份有限公司的应计比率为0.58。一般来说,这对未来的盈利不利。换句话说,在那段时间内,该公司没有产生任何自由现金流。过去一年,实际上它的自由现金流为人民币5400万,与前述的人民币1140万的利润形成对比。从去年的负自由现金流来看,我们想象一些股东可能会担心今年的自由现金流亏损5400万人民币是否表示高风险。话虽如此,故事还没有结束。我们可以看到,一些特殊项目影响了其法定利润,从而影响了应计比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd.
注:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。请点击此处查看中科云网股份有限公司的资产负债表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常规项目如何影响利润?
The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥44m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.
公司在去年因为飞凡项目提升营业收入4400万人民币,这在一定程度上解释了为什么其应计比率如此之低。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增加,但当飞凡项目对利润产生重大贡献时,我们倾向于更加谨慎。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重要的飞凡项目通常不会重复发生。这是可以理解的,因为这些提升被称为“飞凡”。Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd在截至2024年9月的利润中,飞凡项目的贡献相对较大。因此,我们可以推断出,飞凡项目使其法定利润显著强大,其强度超过原本的水平。
Our Take On Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's Profit Performance
我们对中科云网的利润表现的看法
Summing up, Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd received a nice boost to profit from unusual items, but could not match its paper profit with free cash flow. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd you should be aware of.
总的来说,中科云网从飞凡项目中获得了利润的增长,但无法与自由现金流匹配其账面利润。反思之后,上述因素让我们强烈感觉到,中科云网的基本收益能力可能并不像法定利润数字所显示的那样好。因此,如果您希望深入了解该股票,重要的是考虑它面临的任何风险。例如,我们发现了一个对中科云网的1个警告信号,您应该注意。
Our examination of Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对中科云网的审查着重于某些因素,这些因素可能使其收益看起来比实际情况更好。基于这一点,我们有些持怀疑态度。但还有许多其他方法可以了解公司。例如,许多人认为股本回报率高是有利的商业经济指标,而另一些人则喜欢‘跟随资金’,寻找内部人员在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这方面的免费公司集合,其中宣称高股本回报率,或者这份具有大量内部持股的股票清单,会很有用。
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