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There May Be Reason For Hope In YAPP Automotive Systems' (SHSE:603013) Disappointing Earnings

There May Be Reason For Hope In YAPP Automotive Systems' (SHSE:603013) Disappointing Earnings

亚普股份(SHSE:603013)令人失望的收益可能有希望的理由
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 07:10

Shareholders appeared unconcerned with YAPP Automotive Systems Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603013) lackluster earnings report last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

股东们似乎对亚普股份有限公司(上交所代码:603013)上周发布的平淡业绩报告并不关心。我们进行了深入探讨,认为业绩比表面上看起来要强劲得多。

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SHSE:603013 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
上交所代码:603013 的业绩与营业收入历史 2024年11月6日

Examining Cashflow Against YAPP Automotive Systems' Earnings

对比亚普股份的营业收入来审视自由现金流

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如财务专业人士所知,从现金流量计算出的应计比率是评估一家公司自由现金流(FCF)是否与其利润相匹配的关键指标。换句话说,该比率将自由现金流从净利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。该比率告诉我们公司的多少利润不是由F C F支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负应计比率对公司是有益的,而正应计比率则是不利的。这并不是说我们应该担心正应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高应计比率通常是短期利润的不良迹象。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, YAPP Automotive Systems recorded an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥704m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥431.9m. YAPP Automotive Systems' free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

截至2024年9月的12个月内,亚普股份的应计比率为-0.12。因此,其法定营业收入远低于自由现金流。事实上,它在过去一年中自由现金流为70400万人民币,远高于法定利润的43190万人民币。亚普股份的自由现金流在去年的确有所下降,这令人失望,就像不可降解的气球一样。尽管如此,事情还有更多要说的。我们可以看到,飞凡项目影响了其法定利润,因此也影响了应计比率。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of YAPP Automotive Systems.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的强度。点击这里查看我们对亚普股份的资产负债表分析。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常规项目如何影响利润?

YAPP Automotive Systems' profit was reduced by unusual items worth CN¥78m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect YAPP Automotive Systems to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

亚普股份在过去十二个月的利润减少了飞凡项目7800万人民币,这帮助它实现了高现金转化,正如其飞凡项目所反映的那样。这是你在公司有非现金费用减少纸面利润时所期望看到的情况。虽然由于飞凡项目的扣除在初期令人失望,但仍有一线希望。我们审查了数千家上市公司,发现飞凡项目往往是一次性的。这并不令人惊讶,因为这些项目被视为飞凡。假设这些飞凡费用不会再出现,因此我们预计亚普股份明年的利润会更高,其他条件不变。

Our Take On YAPP Automotive Systems' Profit Performance

关于亚普股份利润表现的看法

In conclusion, both YAPP Automotive Systems' accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Looking at all these factors, we'd say that YAPP Automotive Systems' underlying earnings power is at least as good as the statutory numbers would make it seem. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for YAPP Automotive Systems you should know about.

总之,亚普股份的应计比率和飞凡项目表明其法定收益可能相当保守。考虑到所有这些因素,我们认为亚普股份的潜在收益能力至少和法定数字所显示的相当。考虑到这一点,除非我们充分了解风险,否则我们不会考虑投资于某只股票。每家公司都有风险,我们发现1个你应该知道的亚普股份的警示信号。

After our examination into the nature of YAPP Automotive Systems' profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在我们对亚普股份利润性质的检查后,我们对该公司感到乐观。但如果你能够专注于细节,永远还有更多值得发现的东西。有些人认为高股本回报率是高质量业务的良好标志。因此,你可能希望查看这个自由的高股本回报率公司集合,或者查看这个高内部持股的股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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