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We Think That There Are More Issues For Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd (SHSE:688559) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd (SHSE:688559) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我们认为汉森激光科技集团有限公司(SHSE:688559)存在的问题不仅仅是业绩低迷
Simply Wall St ·  11/06 19:38

The recent earnings release from Hymson Laser Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688559 ) was disappointing to investors. We think that they may have more to worry about than just soft profit numbers.

海目星激光科技集团有限公司最近发布的财报, Ltd.(上海证券交易所代码:688559)令投资者失望。我们认为,他们可能需要担心的不仅仅是疲软的利润数字。

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SHSE:688559 Earnings and Revenue History November 7th 2024
SHSE: 688559 2024 年 11 月 7 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd's Earnings

仔细看看海目星激光科技集团有限公司的收益

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高级财务中,用于衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(来自现金流)。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流超出了其利润所暗示的范围。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们确实认为,当公司的应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。那是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计比率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长放缓。

Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.38 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥176.9m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥1.5b in the last year. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥1.5b, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not the end of the story. We must also consider the impact of unusual items on statutory profit (and thus the accrual ratio), as well as note the ramifications of the company issuing new shares.

截至2024年9月的一年中,海目星激光科技集团有限公司的应计比率为0.38。通常,这对未来的盈利能力来说是个坏兆头。换句话说,该公司在那段时间内没有产生一点自由现金流。尽管该公司报告的利润为17690万元人民币,但看一下自由现金流就会发现,去年它实际上消耗了15元人民币。在去年自由现金流为负的背景下,我们想象一些股东可能会怀疑其今年15元人民币的现金消耗是否表明存在高风险。但是,这还不是故事的结局。我们还必须考虑不寻常项目对法定利润(以及应计比率)的影响,并注意公司发行新股的后果。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以点击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd increased the number of shares on issue by 20% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.

评估收益质量的一个重要方面是研究一家公司在多大程度上稀释了股东。实际上,海目星激光科技集团有限公司通过发行新股,在过去十二个月中将已发行股票数量增加了20%。因此,每股现在获得的利润比例较小。在没有注意到每股收益的情况下谈论净收益,就是被大数字分散注意力,而忽略了代表每股价值的较小数字。点击此链接,查看海目星激光科技集团有限公司的历史每股收益增长。

How Is Dilution Impacting Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

稀释如何影响海目星激光科技集团有限公司的每股收益(EPS)?

As you can see above, Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd has been growing its net income over the last few years, with an annualized gain of 124% over three years. But EPS was only up 74% per year, in the exact same period. Net profit actually dropped by 63% in the last year. But the EPS result was even worse, with the company recording a decline of 64%. And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.

如上所示,海目星激光科技集团有限公司在过去几年中一直在增长其净收入,三年内年化增长124%。但是在同一时期,每股收益每年仅增长74%。去年的净利润实际上下降了63%。但是每股收益的业绩甚至更糟,该公司下降了64%。因此,你可以清楚地看到稀释正在影响股东收益。

If Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.

如果海目星激光科技集团有限公司的每股收益能够随着时间的推移而增长,那么这将大大提高股价朝同一方向上涨的机会。但是,如果其利润增加而每股收益保持不变(甚至下降),那么股东可能看不到太多好处。对于普通零售股东来说,每股收益是检查您假设的公司利润 “份额” 的好方法。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常的物品如何影响利润?

The fact that the company had unusual items boosting profit by CN¥47m, in the last year, probably goes some way to explain why its accrual ratio was so weak. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

该公司去年有不寻常的项目将利润提高了4700万元人民币,这一事实可能在某种程度上可以解释其应计比率为何如此疲软。虽然获得更高的利润总是件好事,但来自不寻常物品的巨额捐款有时会抑制我们的热情。当我们分析全球绝大多数上市公司时,我们发现重大不寻常的事项往往不会重演。这正如你所预料的那样,因为这些增强被描述为 “不寻常”。我们可以看到,相对于截至2024年9月的一年中,海目星激光科技集团有限公司的正面不寻常项目与其利润相比相当可观。因此,我们可以推测,这些不寻常的物品使其法定利润明显高于原来的水平。

Our Take On Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd's Profit Performance

我们对海目星激光科技集团有限公司利润表现的看法

In conclusion, Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd's weak accrual ratio suggested its statutory earnings have been inflated by the unusual items. The dilution means the results are weaker when viewed from a per-share perspective. On reflection, the above-mentioned factors give us the strong impression that Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd'sunderlying earnings power is not as good as it might seem, based on the statutory profit numbers. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've found that Hymson Laser Technology GroupLtd has 5 warning signs (2 don't sit too well with us!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

总之,海目星激光科技集团有限公司的低应计比率表明,这些不寻常的项目夸大了其法定收益。稀释意味着从每股的角度来看,业绩会更弱。经过反思,上述因素给我们留下了深刻的印象,即根据法定利润数字,海目星激光科技集团有限公司的基础盈利能力并不像看起来那样好。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。例如,我们发现海目星激光科技集团有 5 个警告信号(2 个不要和我们坐得太好!)在进行进一步分析之前,这值得你注意。

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

在这篇文章中,我们研究了许多可能损害利润数字效用的因素,我们采取了谨慎的态度。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这份内部所有权高的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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