The United Fire Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:UFCS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 25% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Insurance industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may still consider United Fire Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does United Fire Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times haven't been great for United Fire Group as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on United Fire Group.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
United Fire Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 11% last year. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 9.3% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.7% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 4.3%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that United Fire Group's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Despite United Fire Group's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
United Fire Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with United Fire Group.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on United Fire Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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