Does J&J Snack Foods Corp.'s (NASDAQ:JJSF) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?
Does J&J Snack Foods Corp.'s (NASDAQ:JJSF) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?
J&J Snack Foods' (NASDAQ:JJSF) stock is up by a considerable 7.8% over the past week. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study J&J Snack Foods' ROE in this article.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for J&J Snack Foods is:
9.3% = US$87m ÷ US$938m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.09 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
A Side By Side comparison of J&J Snack Foods' Earnings Growth And 9.3% ROE
At first glance, J&J Snack Foods' ROE doesn't look very promising. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 14%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Accordingly, J&J Snack Foods' low net income growth of 3.2% over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that J&J Snack Foods' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 6.5% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. What is JJSF worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether JJSF is currently mispriced by the market.
Is J&J Snack Foods Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?
The high three-year median payout ratio of 80% (that is, the company retains only 20% of its income) over the past three years for J&J Snack Foods suggests that the company's earnings growth was lower as a result of paying out a majority of its earnings.
In addition, J&J Snack Foods has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.
Summary
Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on J&J Snack Foods. Because the company is not reinvesting much into the business, and given the low ROE, it's not surprising to see the lack or absence of growth in its earnings. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.