Despite an already strong run, Kaltura, Inc. (NASDAQ:KLTR) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 4.4% over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Kaltura may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 5.2x and even P/S higher than 13x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
How Kaltura Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Kaltura has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Kaltura.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kaltura would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 2.6% gain to the company's revenues. The latest three year period has also seen a 22% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 0.9% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 25% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Kaltura's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Kaltura's P/S Mean For Investors?
Shares in Kaltura have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As expected, our analysis of Kaltura's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Kaltura has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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