Optimism for First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FNLC) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite One-year Decline in Earnings
Optimism for First Bancorp (NASDAQ:FNLC) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite One-year Decline in Earnings
We believe investing is smart because history shows that stock markets go higher in the long term. But if when you choose to buy stocks, some of them will be below average performers. For example, the The First Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ:FNLC), share price is up over the last year, but its gain of 29% trails the market return. However, the longer term returns haven't been so impressive, with the stock up just 0.8% in the last three years.
我们相信投资是明智的,因为历史显示股市在长期内将走高。但是,当您选择购买股票时,其中一些表现会低于平均水平。例如,第一万通金控(NASDAQ:FNLC)的股价在过去一年中上涨,但涨幅为29%,落后市场回报。然而,长期回报并不那么理想,股价在过去三年中仅上涨0.8%。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在过去的一周之内,获得的强劲收益是否表明了长期回报受到基本面的推动值得关注。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
引用巴菲特的话顺便说一下,“船只将环游世界,但支持地球平面学会的人将大有可为。 在市场上,价格和价值之间将继续存在巨大的差异...”通过比较EPS和股价变化,我们可以了解到投资者对公司的态度随时间的变化程度。
During the last year, First Bancorp actually saw its earnings per share drop 18%.
在过去一年中,第一万通金控实际上看到其每股收益下降了18%。
Given the share price gain, we doubt the market is measuring progress with EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
考虑到股价的上涨,我们怀疑市场不是根据每股收益来衡量公司的进展。由于每股收益的变化似乎与股价的变化不相关,因此值得查看其他指标。
We haven't seen First Bancorp increase dividend payments yet, so the yield probably hasn't helped drive the share higher. It saw it's revenue decline by 5.9% over twelve months. It's fair to say we're a little surprised to see the share price up, and that makes us cautious.
我们还没有看到第一万通金控增加股息派息,所以收益可能还没有推高股价。在过去十二个月中,它的营业收入下降了5.9%。可以说我们对看到股价上涨有点惊讶,这让我们感到谨慎。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下图片显示了收益和营收随时间的变化(如果你点击图片,可以看到更详细的信息)。
This free interactive report on First Bancorp's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想进一步调查这支股票,第一万通金控的资产负债表强度是一个很好的起点。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, First Bancorp's TSR for the last 1 year was 37%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。 TSR是一种回报计算,考虑现金股息的价值(假设任何获得的股息都已再投资)以及任何折价的增资和剥离的计算价值。可以说,TSR能更全面地展现股票带来的回报。恰巧,第一万通金控过去1年的TSR为37%,超过了先前提到的股价回报。毫无疑问,股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种偏离!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
First Bancorp provided a TSR of 37% over the year (including dividends). That's fairly close to the broader market return. That gain looks pretty satisfying, and it is even better than the five-year TSR of 7% per year. Even if the share price growth slows down from here, there's a good chance that this is business worth watching in the long term. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.
第一万通金控提供了一年37%的总股东回报率(包括分红)。这相当接近更广泛的市场回报。那种收益看起来相当令人满意,甚至比每年7%的五年总股东回报率要好。即使股价增长从这里放缓,长期来看,这是一项值得关注的业务。大多数投资者会花时间检查内部交易数据。您可以点击这里查看内部人员是否一直在买入或卖出。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
请注意,本文所引述的市场回报反映了目前在美国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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