JPMorgan Flags IMAX, H.B. Fuller, ZIM As Top Short Picks With Challenges
JPMorgan Flags IMAX, H.B. Fuller, ZIM As Top Short Picks With Challenges
JPMorgan has unveiled his latest picks for short positions, flagging three stocks — IMAX Corp (NYSE:IMAX), ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd (NYSE:ZIM), and H.B. Fuller Company (NYSE:FUL)— as potential downside plays.
摩根大通公布了他最新的空头头寸选择,将三只股票——IMAX公司(纽约证券交易所代码:IMAX)、ZiM综合航运服务有限公司(纽约证券交易所代码:ZIM)和富勒公司(纽约证券交易所代码:FUL)——列为潜在的下行空间。
Each faces unique headwinds, with challenging market dynamics and heightened financial strain.
每个国家都面临着独特的阻力,市场动态充满挑战,财务压力加剧。
Here's why these stocks are under the microscope for short-sellers.
这就是为什么这些股票被卖空者置于显微镜之下的原因。
IMAX: The Big Screen, But Smaller Numbers?
IMAX:大屏幕,但数字更小?
While IMAX has been a leader in high-end cinematic experiences, analyst David Karnovsky is cautious.
尽管IMAX一直是高端电影体验领域的领导者,但分析师大卫·卡诺夫斯基持谨慎态度。
Despite the distinct appeal of IMAX theaters, its global Digital Media Remastering (DMR) business is having a rough year. Karnovsky sees more pain ahead, projecting a 13.4% downside due to a weak 2024 box office outlook and an unclear path for 2025 growth.
尽管IMAX影院具有明显的吸引力,但其全球数字媒体重制版(DMR)业务却经历了艰难的一年。卡尔诺夫斯基认为未来会有更多痛苦,由于2024年票房前景疲软以及2025年增长路径不明朗,预计下跌13.4%。
With blockbusters not consistently delivering and a heavy reliance on DMR performance, IMAX's valuation could be ripe for a correction. Trading at 10x its estimated 2024 EBITDA, the stock appears to lack a clear path to blockbuster gains.
由于大片的表现不稳定,并且严重依赖DMR的表现,IMAX的估值调整的时机可能已经成熟。该股的交易价格是2024年预计息税折旧摊销前利润的10倍,似乎缺乏通往惊人涨幅的明确途径。
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H.B. Fuller: Sticking With The Wrong Glue?
H.b. Fuller:坚持使用错误的胶水?
H.B. Fuller, a stalwart in adhesives and specialty chemicals, is also facing challenges, according to analyst Jeffrey Zekauskas.
分析师杰弗里·泽考斯卡斯表示,粘合剂和特种化学品领域的坚定支持者富勒也面临挑战。
The company's margins are under pressure amid rising input costs, and its limited cash generation capacity after acquisitions is compounding issues. Fuller trades at 9.6x its 2025 EBITDA estimate, and with a potential price drop of around 6%, the stock doesn't seem to have much room to maneuver.
在投入成本上升的情况下,该公司的利润率面临压力,而收购后其有限的现金产生能力使问题雪上加霜。富勒的交易价格是其2025年息税折旧摊销前利润估计值的9.6倍,价格可能下跌约6%,因此该股似乎没有太大的回旋余地。
Zekauskas sees weak cash flows and pricing pressures as hurdles that may stick with the company well into the future, making it a less-than-attractive hold.
Zekauskas认为,疲软的现金流和定价压力是该公司在未来很长一段时间内可能会遇到的障碍,使其成为吸引力不大的股票。
ZIM Integrated Shipping: Treading Water With A Heavy Load
ZiM 综合运输:承受沉重的负担
ZIM Integrated Shipping is perhaps the most vulnerable of the trio. With 85% of its volume exposed to spot markets and a significant chunk of its vessels on charters, ZIM is at the mercy of fluctuating container rates.
ZiM 综合运输可能是三者中最脆弱的。由于其85%的航量暴露于现货市场,而且有很大一部分是租船的,Zim受集装箱费率波动的摆布。
Analyst Alexia Dogani sees a whopping 58% downside by 2025 as the company grapples with shrinking EBITDA, rising debt, and heavy capital investments. At 6.1x its 2025 EBITDA and 1.1x book value, the math isn't adding up in ZIM's favor, making it a risky bet for long-term investors.
分析师亚历克西娅·多加尼预计,到2025年,由于该公司努力应对息税折旧摊销前利润萎缩、债务增加和大量资本投资,下行幅度将高达58%。其2025年息税折旧摊销前利润为6.1倍,账面价值为1.1倍,这并不有利于ZIM,因此对于长期投资者来说,这是一个冒险的选择。
JPMorgan's bearish outlook for IMAX, H.B. Fuller, and ZIM highlights the hurdles these companies face in their respective sectors. From blockbuster inconsistencies to sticky pricing and a sinking shipping market, these companies are navigating challenging waters.
摩根大通对IMAX、富勒和Zim的悲观前景凸显了这些公司在各自领域面临的障碍。从轰动一时的矛盾到高昂的定价和沉没的航运市场,这些公司正在艰难的水域中航行。
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Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.
通过 Midjourney 使用人工智能创建的图像。