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Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000995) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000995) Stock Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Uncertain: What Lies Ahead ?

皇台酒业股份有限公司(SZSE:000995)股价走势强劲,但基本面看起来不稳定:未来将会怎样?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/08 06:21

Most readers would already be aware that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's (SZSE:000995) stock increased significantly by 76% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's ROE today.

大多数读者已经意识到,甘肃皇台酒业有限公司(深圳证券交易所代码:000995)的股票在过去三个月中大幅上涨了76%。但是该公司的关键财务指标似乎各不相同,这使我们质疑该公司目前的股价势头是否可以维持。特别是,今天我们将关注甘肃皇台酒业有限公司的投资回报率。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

ROE或股本回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得的投资中获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其股权资本的盈利能力。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何计算股本回报率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通过使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回报率 = 净利润(来自持续经营)÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd is:

因此,根据上述公式,甘肃皇台酒业有限公司的投资回报率为:

2.6% = CN¥3.9m ÷ CN¥146m (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

2.6% = 390万元人民币 ÷ 14600万元人民币(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

“回报” 是指公司去年的收益。这意味着,每获得价值1元人民币的股东权益,该公司就会产生0.03元人民币的利润。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

为什么投资回报率对收益增长很重要?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到,投资回报率衡量的是公司创造利润的效率。然后,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力,具体取决于公司对这些利润进行再投资或 “保留” 了多少及其有效性。假设其他条件都一样,与功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回报率和更高利润保留率的公司通常具有更高的增长率。

A Side By Side comparison of Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

甘肃皇台酒业有限公司的收益增长和2.6%的投资回报率的并排比较

It is hard to argue that Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 16%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's five year net income decline of 41% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.

很难说甘肃皇台酒业有限公司的投资回报率本身就很不错。即使与行业平均水平的16%相比,投资回报率的数字也相当令人失望。出于这个原因,鉴于投资回报率较低,甘肃皇台酒业有限公司五年净收入下降了41%,这并不奇怪。我们认为,这里可能还有其他因素在起作用。例如,该公司的派息率非常高,或者面临竞争压力。

That being said, we compared Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 15% in the same 5-year period.

话虽如此,我们将甘肃皇台酒业有限公司的表现与行业进行了比较,当我们发现尽管该公司缩减了收益,但该行业在同期5年内以15%的速度增长了收益时,我们对此感到担忧。

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SZSE:000995 Past Earnings Growth November 7th 2024
SZSE: 000995 过去的收益增长 2024 年 11 月 7 日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

为公司附加价值的基础在很大程度上与其收益增长息息相关。对于投资者来说,重要的是要知道市场是否对公司的预期收益增长(或下降)进行了定价。然后,这可以帮助他们确定股票是为光明还是暗淡的未来而布局。如果你想知道甘肃皇台酒业有限公司的估值,可以看看这个衡量其市盈率与行业相比的指标。

Is Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

甘肃皇台酒业有限公司是否在有效利用其利润?

Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

甘肃皇台酒业有限公司不定期派发任何股息,这意味着其所有利润可能都被再投资于该业务,这并不能解释为什么如果该公司保留所有利润,收益就会萎缩。因此,在这方面可能还有其他解释。例如,该公司的业务可能正在恶化。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for Gansu Huangtai Wine-Marketing IndustryLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

总的来说,我们认为甘肃皇台酒业有限公司的表现可以有多种解读。尽管鉴于投资回报率低,它似乎保留了大部分利润,但投资者毕竟可能无法从所有这些再投资中受益。低收入增长表明我们的理论是正确的。总而言之,我们将谨慎对待这家公司,其中一种方法是研究该业务的风险状况。您可以通过我们的平台免费访问我们的风险控制面板,查看我们为甘肃皇台酒业有限公司确定的三种风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。

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