Is Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) A Risky Investment?
Is Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Huabao International Holdings Limited (HKG:336) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
沃伦·巴菲特曾说过一句名言:“波动性远非风险的代名词。”当你检查公司的资产负债表的风险时,考虑它的资产负债表是很自然的,因为企业倒闭时通常会涉及债务。我们注意到,华宝国际控股有限公司(HKG: 336)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但是,股东是否应该担心其债务的使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时危险?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有当公司无法通过筹集资金或用自己的现金流轻松还清债务时,债务才会成为真正的问题。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东们可能会一无所获。但是,更常见(但仍然令人痛苦)的情况是,它必须以低廉的价格筹集新的股本,从而永久稀释股东。但是,通过取代稀释,对于需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业来说,债务可以成为一个非常好的工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先将现金和债务放在一起考虑。
What Is Huabao International Holdings's Debt?
华宝国际控股的债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Huabao International Holdings had CN¥219.0m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥466.9m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥6.01b in cash, so it actually has CN¥5.79b net cash.
你可以点击下图查看历史数字,但它显示华宝国际控股在2024年6月有21900万元人民币的债务,低于一年前的46690万元人民币。但是,其资产负债表显示它持有60.1元人民币的现金,因此实际净现金为57.9元人民币。
How Healthy Is Huabao International Holdings' Balance Sheet?
华宝国际控股的资产负债表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Huabao International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥934.2m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥333.8m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.01b as well as receivables valued at CN¥666.3m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥5.41b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
最新的资产负债表数据显示,华宝国际控股的负债为93420万元人民币,此后到期的负债为33380万元人民币。除这些债务外,它有60.1元人民币的现金以及价值66630万元人民币的应收账款将在12个月内到期。因此,它可以拥有比总负债多出54.1元人民币的流动资产。
This excess liquidity is a great indication that Huabao International Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Huabao International Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
这种过剩的流动性很好地表明华宝国际控股的资产负债表几乎和诺克斯堡一样强劲。考虑到这一事实,我们认为其资产负债表像牛一样强劲。简而言之,华宝国际控股的现金多于债务这一事实可以说是一个很好的迹象,表明它可以安全地管理债务。
It is just as well that Huabao International Holdings's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 58% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Huabao International Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
华宝国际控股的负担也不是太重,因为其息税前利润比去年下降了58%。收益下降(如果这种趋势持续下去)最终也可能使即使是微不足道的债务也相当危险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但是,影响未来资产负债表状况的是华宝国际控股的收益。因此,如果你想进一步了解其收益,可能值得看看这张长期收益趋势图。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Huabao International Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Huabao International Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 74% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,企业需要自由现金流来偿还债务;会计利润根本无法减少债务。华宝国际控股的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但研究该企业如何将其利息税前收益(EBIT)转换为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对债务的需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,华宝国际控股产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其息税前利润的74%,与我们的预期差不多。这种自由现金流使公司处于有利地位,可以在适当的时候偿还债务。
Summing Up
总结
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Huabao International Holdings has net cash of CN¥5.79b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥346m, being 74% of its EBIT. So is Huabao International Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Huabao International Holdings (including 1 which is significant) .
虽然我们同情那些认为债务令人担忧的投资者,但您应该记住,华宝国际控股的净现金为57.9元人民币,流动资产也多于负债。它的自由现金流为34600万元人民币,占其息税前利润的74%,给我们留下了深刻的印象。那么华宝国际控股的债务有风险吗?在我们看来,情况并非如此。资产负债表显然是分析债务时需要关注的领域。但归根结底,每家公司都可以控制资产负债表之外存在的风险。为此,你应该了解我们在华宝国际控股身上发现的3个警告信号(包括一个重要的警告信号)。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果你是那种喜欢在没有债务负担的情况下购买股票的投资者,那么请立即查看我们的独家净现金增长股票清单。
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