We Think Kontoor Brands' (NYSE:KTB) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative
We Think Kontoor Brands' (NYSE:KTB) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative
Investors signalled that they were pleased with Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s (NYSE:KTB) most recent earnings report. Looking deeper at the numbers, we found several encouraging factors beyond the headline profit numbers.
投资者表示,他们对Kontoor Brands, Inc.(纽交所:KTB)最近的收益报告感到满意。深入研究数字,我们发现除了头条利润数字之外,还有几个令人鼓舞的因素。
A Closer Look At Kontoor Brands' Earnings
仔细观察Kontoor Brands的收益
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
在高金融领域,用于衡量公司将其报告利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是从现金流量中计算的应计率。简单点来说,这个比率从净利润中减去自由现金流,然后将这个数字除以公司在那段时间内的平均营业资产。从现金流来看,你可以把它看作是“非FCF利润率”。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,当公司的应计负债比率为负时,实际上是一件好事,但如果其应计负债比率为正,那就是一件坏事。虽然应计负债比率为正不是问题,表明某种程度的非现金利润,但高应计负债比率可以说是一件坏事,因为这表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。因为一些学术研究表明,高应计负债比率往往导致利润较低或利润增长较少。
For the year to September 2024, Kontoor Brands had an accrual ratio of -0.24. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$474m, well over the US$250.6m it reported in profit. Kontoor Brands shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months.
截至2024年9月,Kontoor Brands的应计比率为-0.24。这意味着它具有非常好的现金转换能力,实际上,去年的收益明显地低估了其自由现金流。事实上,在过去的十二个月中,其报告的自由现金流为47400万美元,远远超过其亏损25060万美元。Kontoor Brands的股东无疑对过去十二个月自由现金流的改善感到高兴。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
Our Take On Kontoor Brands' Profit Performance
我们对Kontoor Brands的盈利表现看法
As we discussed above, Kontoor Brands' accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think Kontoor Brands' underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And the EPS is up 33% annually, over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Kontoor Brands at this point in time. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Kontoor Brands.
正如我们前面讨论的那样,Kontoor Brands的应计比率显示了将利润转化为自由现金流的强劲能力,这对公司是一个积极因素。因此,我们认为Kontoor Brands的潜在盈利能力与法定利润所显示的一样好,甚至可能更好!EPS在过去三年年均增长33%。当然,在分析其盈利能力时,我们只是触及了皮毛;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等其他因素。因此,盈利质量很重要,同时在考虑Kontoor Brands当前面临的风险时也同样重要。例如,我们发现了3个警示信号,您应该审慎研究,以更全面地了解Kontoor Brands。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Kontoor Brands' profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
这篇笔记仅讨论了揭示Kontoor Brands盈利本质的一个因素。但如果您有能力将注意力集中在细枝末节上,就会有更多发现。一些人认为高净资产收益率是优质业务的良好标志。因此,您可能希望查看这份免费的公司收藏高净资产收益率,或者这份持有高内部所有权股票的股票名单。
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