We Think ChromaDex's (NASDAQ:CDXC) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
We Think ChromaDex's (NASDAQ:CDXC) Profit Is Only A Baseline For What They Can Achieve
When companies post strong earnings, the stock generally performs well, just like ChromaDex Corporation's (NASDAQ:CDXC) stock has recently. We have done some analysis, and we found several positive factors beyond the profit numbers.
当各公司公布强劲的收益时,该股通常表现良好,就像ChromaDex公司(纳斯达克股票代码:CDXC)最近的股票一样。我们做了一些分析,除了利润数字外,我们还发现了几个积极因素。
A Closer Look At ChromaDex's Earnings
仔细看看 ChromaDex 的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
许多投资者尚未听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们显示了公司的利润超过其FCF的程度。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,当公司的应计比率为负时,这实际上被认为是一件好事,但如果其应计比率为正,则是一件坏事。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计额较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。
ChromaDex has an accrual ratio of -1.83 for the year to September 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$4.1m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$1.49m. ChromaDex's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
截至2024年9月的一年中,ChromaDex的应计比率为-1.83。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。换句话说,它在此期间产生了410万美元的自由现金流,使其报告的149万美元利润相形见绌。去年,ChromaDex的自由现金流实际上有所下降,这令人失望,就像不可生物降解的气球一样。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以点击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。
Our Take On ChromaDex's Profit Performance
我们对ChromaDex利润表现的看法
As we discussed above, ChromaDex's accrual ratio indicates strong conversion of profit to free cash flow, which is a positive for the company. Because of this, we think ChromaDex's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! And one can definitely find a positive in the fact that it made a profit this year, despite losing money last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of ChromaDex.
正如我们上面讨论的那样,ChromaDex的应计比率表明利润向自由现金流的强劲转换,这对公司来说是一个积极因素。因此,我们认为ChromaDex的潜在盈利潜力与法定利润看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!尽管去年亏损,但它今年还是实现了盈利,这一事实肯定可以找到积极的一面。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依靠法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多需要考虑的地方。请记住,在分析股票时,值得注意所涉及的风险。例如,我们发现了 1 个警告信号,为了更好地了解 ChromaDex,你应该将视线移过去。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of ChromaDex's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
今天,我们放大了单个数据点,以更好地了解ChromaDex利润的性质。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。因此,你可能希望看到这份拥有高股本回报率的公司的免费集合,或者这份内部所有权高的股票清单。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St 的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法提供基于历史数据和分析师预测的评论,我们的文章并非旨在提供财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不会考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。华尔街只是没有持有上述任何股票的头寸。