Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. Just Reported A Surprise Loss: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next
Investors in Vishay Intertechnology, Inc. (NYSE:VSH) had a good week, as its shares rose 5.5% to close at US$17.89 following the release of its third-quarter results. Revenues came in at US$735m, in line with estimates, while Vishay Intertechnology reported a statutory loss of US$0.14 per share, well short of prior analyst forecasts for a profit. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.
威世科技公司(NYSE:VSH)的投资者度过了美好的一周,因为其股价上涨了5.5%,收于17.89美元,紧随其第三季度业绩发布之后。营业收入达到73500万美元,符合预期,而威世科技则报告每股亏损0.14美元,远低于先前分析师对盈利的预测。收益是投资者重要的时刻,因为他们可以追踪公司的表现,了解分析师对明年的预测,并查看对该公司的看法是否有所改变。因此,我们汇总了最新的盈后法定共识预测,以了解明年可能会发生什么。
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Following the latest results, Vishay Intertechnology's three analysts are now forecasting revenues of US$3.10b in 2025. This would be an okay 2.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to leap 64% to US$1.04. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of US$3.25b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.43 in 2025. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a pretty serious reduction to earnings per share estimates.
根据最新的结果,威世科技公司的三位分析师预测2025年的营收将达到31亿美元。与过去12个月相比,这将是一项不错的2.9%的营收增长。每股收益预计将增长64%,达到1.04美元。然而,在最新财报之前,分析师们曾预计2025年的营收为32.5亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为1.43美元。由此可见,最新结果后市场情绪确实变得更为看淡,导致更低的营收预测和对每股收益预期的大幅下调。
The analysts made no major changes to their price target of US$21.00, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Vishay Intertechnology's valuation. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. The most optimistic Vishay Intertechnology analyst has a price target of US$25.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$17.00. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
分析师对威世科技公司的股价目标没有进行重大修改,表明不预计这些降级会对该公司的估值产生长期影响。然而,我们可以从这些数据中得出的结论并不仅限于此,因为一些投资者在评估分析师的股价目标时还喜欢考虑预测的差距。最乐观的威世科技分析师将股价目标定为25.00美元,而最悲观者将其定为17.00美元。这些股价目标显示出,分析师对该业务有一些不同的看法,但预测并不足以让我们认为有些人在赌博或彻底失败。
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Vishay Intertechnology's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Vishay Intertechnology's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 2.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 6.1% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 7.3% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Vishay Intertechnology is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
这些估算很有趣,但在比较预测时,将一些更广泛的轮廓涂抹出来可能会更有用,既要考虑到威世科技的过去表现,也要与同行业的同行进行比较。很明显,人们期待威世科技的营业收入增长将大幅放缓,预计到2025年底,年增长率将显示2.3%的增长。这与过去五年的历史增长率6.1%相比。将此与行业中其他公司(根据分析师的预测)相比,预计其年均营业收入增长率为7.3%。考虑到增长放缓的预测情况,很显然,威世科技也预计增长速度比其他行业参与者更慢。
The Bottom Line
最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Vishay Intertechnology. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at US$21.00, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
最大的担忧是分析师们降低了每股收益的估算,表明威世科技可能面临业务挑战。在消极方面,他们还下调了营业收入的估算,预测表明他们的表现将不如整个行业。共识价值目标保持在21.00美元,最新估算并不足以对其价格目标产生影响。
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Vishay Intertechnology. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have estimates - from multiple Vishay Intertechnology analysts - going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.
考虑到这一点,我们不应该过快得出关于威世科技的结论。长期的盈利能力比明年的利润更重要。我们从多位威世科技分析师那里得到了截至2025年的估算,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Vishay Intertechnology you should be aware of.
但您应该始终考虑风险。举例来说,我们发现了威世科技的3个警示信号,您应该注意。
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