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Wuxi Lihu Corporation Limited.'s (SZSE:300694) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

Wuxi Lihu Corporation Limited.'s (SZSE:300694) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

蠡湖股份有限公司(SZSE:300694)的财务状况过于模糊,无法与当前股价势头联系起来:股票未来走势如何?
Simply Wall St ·  11/08 17:46

Wuxi Lihu (SZSE:300694) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 44% over the last three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Wuxi Lihu's ROE today.

无锡理湖(SZSE:300694)股票在股市上表现出色,过去三个月上涨了显著的44%。然而,我们担心公司不一致的财务数据是否会对当前股价动量产生任何不利影响。特别是,我们将关注无锡理湖今日的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

净资产收益率或roe是用来评估公司管理层如何有效利用公司资本的关键指标。简而言之,roe显示了每一美元投资在股东投资方面产生的利润。

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

如何计算股东权益报酬率?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Wuxi Lihu is:

因此,根据上述公式,无锡理湖的roe为:

3.6% = CN¥49m ÷ CN¥1.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

3.6% = 4900万元 ÷ 14亿元(截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

'回报'是最近12个月的利润。另一种思考方式是对于每个CN¥1的股权价值,公司能够获得CN¥0.04的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe衡量公司生成利润的效率。根据公司再投资或“保留”的利润比例及其有效性,我们能够评估公司的收益增长潜力。在其他一切保持不变的情况下,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,相比于那些不一定拥有这些特性的公司。

A Side By Side comparison of Wuxi Lihu's Earnings Growth And 3.6% ROE

无锡利湖的盈利增长和3.6%的roe之间的并列对比

It is quite clear that Wuxi Lihu's ROE is rather low. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 8.2%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 7.5% seen by Wuxi Lihu over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

很明显,无锡利湖的roe相当低。不仅如此,甚至与行业平均8.2%的roe相比,该公司的roe都是平庸的。鉴于无锡利湖过去五年净利润下降了7.5%,这一大幅下降并不令人意外。我们认为这里也可能存在其他因素。比如-低盈利留存或资本配置不善。

So, as a next step, we compared Wuxi Lihu's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 9.0% over the last few years.

所以,作为下一步,我们将无锡利湖的表现与行业进行了比较,却发现令人失望的是,尽管该公司一直在减少盈利,但行业在过去几年里的盈利增长率却达到了9.0%。

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SZSE:300694 Past Earnings Growth November 8th 2024
szse:300694历史数据2024年11月8日盈利增长

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Wuxi Lihu's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

判断一家公司的价值很大程度上取决于其盈利增长。接下来投资者需要判断的是,预期盈利增长是否已经反映在股价中,或者尚未反映。这样做将帮助他们判断股票未来是有前景还是前景堪忧。如果你想了解无锡立湖的估值情况,请查看其市盈率相对于行业的比较。

Is Wuxi Lihu Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

无锡立湖是否有效地再投资其利润?

When we piece together Wuxi Lihu's low three-year median payout ratio of 16% (where it is retaining 84% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. The low payout should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings and consequently, should see some growth. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

当我们综合考虑无锡立湖近三年的中位数低至16%的股利支付比率(表示其留存利润的84%),计算过去三年的数据后,我们困惑于其缺乏增长。低股利支付比率应该意味着公司大部分利润被保留,因此应该会有一定程度的增长。看起来可能有其他原因解释了这一缺失。例如,业务可能出现下滑。

Moreover, Wuxi Lihu has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,无锡立湖已经连续六年支付股息,这是相当长的一段时间,表明管理层可能认为股东更倾向于保持稳定的股息,尽管公司利润一直在减少。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Wuxi Lihu can be open to many interpretations. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Wuxi Lihu.

总的来看,我们认为无锡丽湖表现可以有多种解读。尽管看起来它保留了大部分利润,但考虑到低开多率,投资者可能并未从所有再投资中受益。低利润增长率支持我们的理论。总结一下,我们将对这家公司保持谨慎,其中一种方法就是查看业务的风险概况。我们的风险仪表将包含我们为无锡丽湖确定的两项风险。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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