We Think Sichuan Haite High-techLtd (SZSE:002023) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Sichuan Haite High-techLtd (SZSE:002023) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Sichuan Haite High-tech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002023) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持)曾经说过,'最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是你是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。' 因此,当你考虑任何特定股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖累一家公司。我们注意到四川海特高新技术股份有限公司(SZSE:002023)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东们是否应该担心它对债务的运用呢?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
债务可以帮助企业,直到企业需要通过新的资本或自由现金流来偿还债务。最终,如果公司不能履行其偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能一无所有。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司需要以低价募集新的股权资本,从而永久地稀释股东的股份。当然,债务可以是企业的重要工具,特别是在资本密集型企业中。在考虑公司债务水平时,第一步是同时考虑其现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does Sichuan Haite High-techLtd Carry?
海特高新有多少债务?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd had debt of CN¥2.13b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.36b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥512.3m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥1.62b.
下面的图片可以点击查看更详细信息,显示四川海特高新技术股份有限公司截至2024年9月底的债务为21.3亿人民币,较一年前的23.6亿人民币有所减少。但由于其有51230万人民币的现金储备,其净债务更少,约为16.2亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Sichuan Haite High-techLtd's Balance Sheet?
四川海特高新公司的资产负债表如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Sichuan Haite High-techLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.45b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.54b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥512.3m in cash and CN¥700.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.78b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
根据最近披露的资产负债表显示,四川海特高新公司有14.5亿人民币的负债需在12个月内偿还,以及15.4亿人民币的负债需超过12个月偿还。相抵消的是,公司手头有51230万人民币的现金和70090万人民币的应收款项需要在12个月内收回。所以,负债总额比其现金和短期应收款项的总和多了17.8亿人民币。
Since publicly traded Sichuan Haite High-techLtd shares are worth a total of CN¥9.05b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
由于四川海特高新公司的上市股票总值为90.5亿人民币,看起来这种水平的负债不太可能构成重大威胁。尽管如此,很明显我们应该继续监测其资产负债表,以防情况变得更糟。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
通过查看公司的净债务与利息、税、折旧、摊销前利润(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息费用(利息覆盖率)可以衡量一个公司的债务负担与收益能力。因此,我们考虑将债务与有无计算折旧和摊销费用的收益相对比。
While Sichuan Haite High-techLtd's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.1) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 2.2, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. The good news is that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd grew its EBIT a smooth 69% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sichuan Haite High-techLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
尽管四川海特高新公司的债务对税前息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)比率为4.1表明其使用了一些债务,但其利息保障倍数非常薄弱,仅为2.2,表明杠杆率很高。因此股东们可能应该意识到利息支出似乎最近对公司业务产生了真正的影响。好消息是,四川海特高新公司过去12个月内的税前利润(EBIT)平稳增长了69%。像母亲慈爱抱着新生宝宝那种增长建立了韧性,让公司更有能力管理其债务。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终决定四川海特高新公司能否保持健康资产负债表的是未来的收入,超过任何其他因素。所以如果您专注于未来,您可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Sichuan Haite High-techLtd recorded free cash flow of 39% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
最终,公司只能用实打实的现金偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,值得检查有多少EBIt是由自由现金流支撑的。从最近的两年来看,海特高新公司录得的自由现金流占其EBIt的39%,这比我们预期的要弱。这种弱势的现金转换使得处理负债变得更加困难。
Our View
我们的观点
When it comes to the balance sheet, the standout positive for Sichuan Haite High-techLtd was the fact that it seems able to grow its EBIT confidently. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. To be specific, it seems about as good at covering its interest expense with its EBIT as wet socks are at keeping your feet warm. It's also worth noting that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd is in the Infrastructure industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Sichuan Haite High-techLtd is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Sichuan Haite High-techLtd, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
在资产负债表方面,海特高新公司的亮点是它似乎能够自信地增长其EBIt。但是我们以上提到的其他因素并不那么令人鼓舞。具体来说,看起来用EBIt支付利息费用与湿袜子保持脚温差不多。还值得注意的是,海特高新公司属于制造行业,这通常被认为是相当防御性的。当我们考虑以上提到的所有因素时,对我们来说,海特高新公司似乎在处理其债务方面做得相当不错。话虽如此,负担足够沉重,我们建议任何股东都应密切关注。随着时间的推移,股价往往会跟随每股收益,因此如果您对海特高新公司感兴趣,您可能会想要单击此处查看其每股收益历史的交互式图表。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。