Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System (SZSE:002184) Delivers Shareholders Notable 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 16% in the Last Week Alone
Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System (SZSE:002184) Delivers Shareholders Notable 11% CAGR Over 5 Years, Surging 16% in the Last Week Alone
When we invest, we're generally looking for stocks that outperform the market average. Buying under-rated businesses is one path to excess returns. For example, long term Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co., Ltd (SZSE:002184) shareholders have enjoyed a 64% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 25% (not including dividends).
当我们投资时,通常寻找表现优异于市场平均水平的股票。购买被低估的业务是实现超额回报的一种途径。例如,长期持有上海海得控制系统股份有限公司(SZSE:002184)的股东在过去的五年中享受了64%的股价上涨,远远超过了市场回报约25%(不包括分红)。
The past week has proven to be lucrative for Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System investors, so let's see if fundamentals drove the company's five-year performance.
过去一周对上海海得控制系统的投资者来说是获利丰厚的,所以让我们看看基本面是否推动了公司的五年表现。
Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
上海海得控制系统目前没有盈利,所以大多数分析师会关注营业收入增长,以了解潜在业务增长的速度。通常情况下,无盈利公司的股东希望看到强劲的营业收入增长。这是因为快速的营业收入增长通常可以推断出相当可观的利润。
In the last 5 years Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System saw its revenue grow at 11% per year. That's a fairly respectable growth rate. Revenue has been growing at a reasonable clip, so it's debatable whether the share price growth of 10% full reflects the underlying business growth. If revenue growth can maintain for long enough, it's likely profits will flow. Lack of earnings means you have to project further into the future justify the valuation on the basis of future free cash flow.
在过去的五年中,上海海得控制系统的营业收入增长率为每年11%。这是相当可观的增长率。收入一直以一个合理的速度增长,因此很难说股价增长10%是否充分反映了基础业务的增长。如果营业收入增长能够保持足够长时间,利润很可能会随之而来。缺乏盈利意味着您必须进一步预测未来,以未来自由现金流为基础来证明估值的合理性。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下图片显示了收益和营收随时间的变化(如果你点击图片,可以看到更详细的信息)。
Take a more thorough look at Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更全面地了解上海海得控制的财务健康状况。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System the TSR over the last 5 years was 72%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
对于任何给定的股票,考虑总股东回报以及股价回报非常重要。股价回报仅反映股价的变化,而TSR包括分红的价值(假设分红再投资)以及任何折价的资本募集或分拆的好处。可以说TSR为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的图像。我们注意到,上海海得控制过去5年的TSR为72%,这比上述股价回报要好。因此,公司支付的股息提升了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Investors in Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System had a tough year, with a total loss of 27% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 11%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 11% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
上海海得控制的投资者度过了艰难的一年,总亏损达27%(包括股息),而市场的收益约为11%。即使优质股票的股价有时也会下跌,但在对一家企业的基本度量标准出现改善之前,我们需要看到长期股东已经实现了盈利,五年半以来年均增长11%。最近的抛售可能是一个机会,因此值得查看基本数据,看是否存在长期增长趋势的迹象。跟踪股价表现是一件有趣的事情,但要更好地了解上海海得控制,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险一直存在。我们已经识别出上海海得控制存在1个警示信号,了解它们应该作为您的投资流程的一部分。
We will like Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我们看到一些大规模内部买入,我们会更喜欢上海海得控制。在此期间,请查看这份免费的被低估股票名单(主要是小市值股票),其中包含大量最近的内部买入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
对这篇文章有反馈吗?对内容感到担忧吗?请直接与我们联系。或者,发送电子邮件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。