We Think YaGuang Technology Group (SZSE:300123) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
We Think YaGuang Technology Group (SZSE:300123) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies YaGuang Technology Group Company Limited (SZSE:300123) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持的)曾经说过,“最大的投资风险不在于价格的波动,而在于你是否会遭受永久的资本损失。” 当我们考虑一家公司的风险时,我们总是喜欢看看它的债务使用情况,因为债务过重可能导致灭亡。 与许多其他公司一样,亚光科技集团有限公司(SZSE:300123)利用了债务。 但这种债务是否让股东担忧?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
债务何时有危险?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
当企业无法通过自由现金流或以有吸引力的价格筹集资本时,债务和其他负债对企业构成风险。如果情况变得非常糟糕,放贷人可以控制企业。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,它必须以低价发行新股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东的股份。当然,债务的好处在于它通常代表了廉价的资本,特别是当它用于替换具有高回报率再投资的公司的稀释时。当我们考虑一家公司使用债务时,我们首先看的是现金和债务。
How Much Debt Does YaGuang Technology Group Carry?
亚光科技集团承担了多少债务?
As you can see below, YaGuang Technology Group had CN¥1.74b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥1.85b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥205.1m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.53b.
正如下文所示,亚光科技集团在2024年6月的债务为17.4亿人民币,比前一年的18.5亿人民币有所减少。然而,它确实有20510万人民币的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净债务约15.3亿人民币。
How Strong Is YaGuang Technology Group's Balance Sheet?
亚光科技集团的资产负债表有多强?
According to the last reported balance sheet, YaGuang Technology Group had liabilities of CN¥2.80b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥513.8m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥205.1m and CN¥1.99b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.12b.
根据最近报告的资产负债表显示,亚光科技集团有约28亿人民币的负债需在12个月内偿还,以及超过12个月到期的负债为51380万人民币。另一方面,其资金为20510万人民币,应收款为19.9亿人民币。因此,其负债超过了现金和(短期)应收款的总和约11.2亿人民币。
Of course, YaGuang Technology Group has a market capitalization of CN¥7.82b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is YaGuang Technology Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
当然,亚光科技集团的市值为78.2亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。但是有足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东继续监控资产负债表的变化。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最多能了解债务的情况。但是,亚光科技集团的收入将影响资产负债表在未来的表现。因此,如果您渴望了解更多关于其收入的信息,不妨查看其中长期收入趋势的图表。
Over 12 months, YaGuang Technology Group made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥1.2b, which is a fall of 32%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在12个月内,亚光科技集团在EBIt水平上亏损,其营业收入下降至12亿人民币,下降了32%。坦率地说,这不是一个好兆头。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
Not only did YaGuang Technology Group's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥91m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥371m. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 2 warning signs with YaGuang Technology Group (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
亚光科技集团不仅在过去12个月内营业额下滑,而且在利息和税前收入(EBIT)上也出现负增长。事实上,在EBIt水平上亏损了9100万人民币。当我们考虑到这一点并回顾其资产负债表上的负债情况,相对于现金,对于公司来说拥有任何债务似乎是不明智的。因此,我们认为其资产负债表有点紧张,尽管还没有超过可修复的范围。例如,我们不希望看到去年亏损了37100万人民币的情况重演。简而言之,这是一只非常高风险的股票。资产负债表显然是在分析债务时需要关注的重点领域。然而,并非所有的投资风险都源自资产负债表 - 远非如此。我们已经识别出亚光科技集团的2个警告信号(至少1个可能是严重的),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。
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