Optimism for Guangdong Delian Group (SZSE:002666) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
Optimism for Guangdong Delian Group (SZSE:002666) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
If you buy and hold a stock for many years, you'd hope to be making a profit. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. Unfortunately for shareholders, while the Guangdong Delian Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002666) share price is up 18% in the last five years, that's less than the market return. The last year has been disappointing, with the stock price down 3.9% in that time.
如果你买入并持有一只股票很多年,你希望能够获得利润。此外,你通常希望看到股价上涨的速度快于市场。不幸的是,对于股东来说,德联集团股份有限公司(SZSE:002666)的股价在过去五年上涨了18%,但这低于市场回报。在过去的一年中,表现令人失望,股价下跌了3.9%。
Since it's been a strong week for Guangdong Delian Group shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由于对于德联集团的股东来说这一周表现强劲,让我们来看看长期基本面的趋势。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
尽管市场是一个强大的定价机制,股价不仅反映了基本业务表现,还反映了投资者的情绪。通过比较每股收益(EPS)和股价变化,并随时间推移这样做,我们可以了解股东对公司的态度如何随时间变化。
Guangdong Delian Group's earnings per share are down 16% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
尽管五年来股价表现强劲,但德联集团的每股收益年均下降16%。
The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
每股收益的大幅下降表明市场并没有使用EPS来评判这家公司。下滑的EPS与不断攀升的股价不一致,因此值得看看其他指标。
We doubt the modest 1.4% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 7.4% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Guangdong Delian Group is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我们怀疑1.4%的分红派息收益率能吸引很多买家购买该股票。相比之下,7.4%的年度营业收入增长可能被视为德联集团正在增长的证据,这是真正的积极因素。在这种情况下,公司可能在牺牲当前每股收益以推动增长。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和营收的变化情况(通过单击图像了解精确值)。
Take a more thorough look at Guangdong Delian Group's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
通过这份免费的资产负债表报告,更深入地了解德联集团的财务健康。
What About Dividends?
关于分红派息的问题
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Guangdong Delian Group's TSR for the last 5 years was 23%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
除了衡量股价回报,投资者还应该考虑总股东回报(TSR)。TSR包括任何拆分或折扣融资的价值,以及任何分红,基于分红被再投资的假设。可以说,TSR提供了一个更全面的股票回报情况。事实上,德联集团过去5年的TSR为23%,超过了之前提到的股价回报。这在很大程度上归功于公司的分红支付!
A Different Perspective
另一种看法
Guangdong Delian Group shareholders are down 2.5% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 11%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Guangdong Delian Group (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
德联集团的股东今年下跌了2.5%(即使包括分红派息),但市场本身上涨了11%。即使是优秀股票的股价有时也会下跌,但我们希望在对业务产生过多兴趣之前,看到基本指标的改善。长期投资者可能不会太沮丧,因为他们在五年内每年都有4%的收益。最近的卖出可能是一个机会,因此值得检查基本数据,以寻找长期增长趋势的迹象。 我发现,从长期来看观察股价作为业务表现的代理指标非常有趣。但是,要真正获得洞察,我们还需要考虑其他信息。 例如,我们发现了德联集团的三个警告信号(一个无法忽视!),在投资之前你应该意识到这些。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
当然,您可能通过在其他地方寻找会找到一笔极好的投资。因此,请查看我们预计会增长收入的公司免费名单。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文中引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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