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Results: OPKO Health, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit

Results: OPKO Health, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit

结果:OPKO Health, Inc. 以意外盈利令分析师大为意外
Simply Wall St ·  11/09 08:58

The quarterly results for OPKO Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:OPK) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues of US$174m missed analyst estimates by a little bit, but statutory earnings beat expectations by an impressive , coming in at US$0.03 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

opko健康公司(NASDAQ:OPK)上周发布了季度财报,现在是重新审视其业绩的好时机。营业收入为17400万美元,略低于分析师的预期,但法定收益却令人印象深刻,每股达到0.03美元。分析师通常会在每个财报后更新他们的预测,我们可以根据他们的估值判断公司的看法是否已经改变,或者是否有任何需要注意的新问题。我们认为读者会觉得有趣去看到分析师最新(法定的)财报后对明年的预测。

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NasdaqGS:OPK Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2024
纳斯达克上的OPK股票于2024年11月9日发布了收益和营收增长报告

Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from six analysts covering OPKO Health is for revenues of US$693.6m in 2025. This implies a noticeable 2.5% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.27 per share. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$714.8m and losses of US$0.28 per share in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers fell somewhat.

根据最近的收益报告,覆盖OPKO Health的六位分析师的一致看法是,2025年营业收入将达到69360万美元。这意味着与过去12个月相比,营收将显着下降2.5%。 预计每股亏损将激增,达到0.27美元。在这一收益公告之前,分析师一直在预计2025年的营收为71480万美元,每股亏损为0.28美元。 看起来最近的更新中情绪略微增强,分析师在对每股亏损的预测上变得更加乐观,尽管营收数字有所下降。

There was no major change to the US$3.96average price target, suggesting that the adjustments to revenue and earnings are not expected to have a long-term impact on the business. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on OPKO Health, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$8.50 and the most bearish at US$2.00 per share. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

平均目标价3.96美元没有发生重大变化,这表明营收和盈利的调整预计不会对业务产生长期影响。 焦点放在一个单一的目标价上可能不明智,因为共识目标实际上是分析师目标价的平均数。 因此,一些投资者喜欢查看各种估值范围,以查看对公司价值的看法是否有分歧。关于opko健康,对于最看好的分析师的估值为8.50美元,最看淡的为每股2.00美元。 由于目标价范围如此广泛,分析师几乎可以肯定在公司基本业务的不同结果上打赌。 因此,基于共识目标价做出决策可能不是一个好主意,毕竟这只是各种估值范围的平均值。

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would also point out that the forecast 2.0% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025 is better than the historical trend, which saw revenues shrink 7.7% annually over the past five years By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.6% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately OPKO Health is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.

当然,观察这些预测的另一种方式是将其与行业本身联系起来。我们还要指出,截至2025年底,预计年化收入下降2.0%,比过去五年每年收入下降7.7%的历史趋势要好。相比之下,我们的数据显示,在同行业受到分析师关注的其他公司预计其年收入增长6.6%。因此,尽管预计大多数公司将实现增长,不幸的是,opko健康预计其收入受到的影响比行业内其他公司更严重。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最明显的结论是,分析师们对明年的亏损预测没有做出任何更改。不幸的是,他们还下调了收入预期,而我们的数据显示,与整个行业相比,表现不佳。即便如此,每股收益对企业内在价值更为重要。即便如此,每股收益对企业内在价值更为重要。共识价格目标没有真正变化,这表明企业的内在价值在最新的估计中并未发生任何重大变化。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple OPKO Health analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

话虽如此,公司盈利的长期轨迹比明年更为重要。我们从多位opko健康分析师那里得到了截止到2026年的估计数据,您可以在我们的平台上免费查看。

You can also see whether OPKO Health is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

您还可以免费在我们的平台上查看opko健康是否负债过重,以及其资产负债表是否健康。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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