Despite an already strong run, Sanbo Hospital Management Group Limited (SZSE:301293) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 36% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.8% isn't as impressive.
After such a large jump in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may consider Sanbo Hospital Management Group as a stock not worth researching with its 7.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does Sanbo Hospital Management Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Sanbo Hospital Management Group recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sanbo Hospital Management Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
Sanbo Hospital Management Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 17% gain to the company's top line. As a result, it also grew revenue by 24% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Sanbo Hospital Management Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Sanbo Hospital Management Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Sanbo Hospital Management Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Having said that, be aware Sanbo Hospital Management Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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