Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300985) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300985) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?
Most readers would already be aware that Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's (SZSE:300985) stock increased significantly by 39% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. In this article, we decided to focus on Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's ROE.
大多数读者可能已经知道,长春智源新能母基(SZSE:300985)的股票在过去三个月中显著上涨了39%。然而,我们想知道公司的财务不稳定是否会对当前的股价动量产生不利影响。在这篇文章中,我们决定重点关注长春智源新能母基的roe。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股东权益回报率ROE是测试公司增值能力和管理股东投资的有效性的指标。更简单地说,它衡量公司在股东权益中的盈利能力。
How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?
如何计算净资产收益率?
The formula for return on equity is:
权益回报率的计算公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment is:
因此,根据上述公式,长春智源新能母基的roe为:
7.5% = CN¥91m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
7.5% = CN¥9100万 ÷ CN¥12亿(基于截至2024年9月的过去十二个月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.07.
“回报”是指公司在过去一年的收益。因此,这意味着对于股东的每CN¥1投资,公司就能获得CN¥0.07的利润。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE为什么对净利润增长很重要?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
到目前为止,我们已经了解到roe是衡量公司盈利能力的指标。我们现在需要评估公司重新投资或“保留”的利润量,从而给我们提供有关公司增长潜力的想法。其他条件相同的情况下,roe和利润保留率均较高的公司通常是增长率比没有这些特征的公司高的公司。
Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's Earnings Growth And 7.5% ROE
长春智源新能源设备的盈利增长和7.5% roe
When you first look at it, Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.3%, we may spare it some thought. But Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment saw a five year net income decline of 27% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.
乍一看,长春智源新能源设备的roe似乎并不那么吸引人。但是,考虑到该公司的roe与行业的平均roe 6.3%相似,我们可以考虑一下。但是长春智源新能源设备在过去五年中净利润下降了27%。请记住,公司的roe从一开始就有点低。这可能是导致盈利增长缩减的原因。
That being said, we compared Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 7.3% in the same 5-year period.
话虽如此,我们将长春智源新能源设备的表现与行业进行了比较,当发现虽然公司盈利缩减,但行业在同五年期间盈利却增长了7.3%时,我们感到担忧。
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
对公司估值的基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长有关。投资者应尝试确定预期的盈利增长或下降是否已被计入价格。这样,他们就能了解到股票是进入清澈的沃特世,还是会面临沼泽般的困境。预期盈利增长的一个好指标是市盈率,它决定了市场愿意为一只股票支付的价格,基于其盈利前景。因此,你可能想检查一下长春智源新能母基相对于其行业的市盈率是高是低。
Is Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
长春智源新能母基是否有效地再投资其利润?
In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 40% (that is, a retention ratio of 60%), the fact that Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment's earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
尽管正常的三年中位数分红支付比例为40%(即保留比例为60%),但长春智源新能母基的盈利萎缩这一事实令人困惑。因此,可能还有其他解释。例如,公司的业务可能正在恶化。
In addition, Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.
此外,长春智源新能母基在三年的时间内一直在支付分红,这表明尽管盈利在下降,管理层还是更倾向于保持分红的支付。
Conclusion
结论
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 5 risks we have identified for Changchun Zhiyuan New Energy Equipment.
总体而言,我们对长春智圆新能源设备有着复杂的感受。虽然公司确实有着高的再投资率,但低roe意味着所有的再投资并没有为投资者带来任何好处,而且它还对盈利增长产生了负面影响。最后,我们会对这家公司保持谨慎,其中一种方法是查看该业务的风险概况。我们的风险特斯拉-仪表上将列出我们为长春智圆新能源设备识别出的5个风险。
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