We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Sinosteel Engineering & Technology's (SZSE:000928) Earnings
We Think You Should Be Aware Of Some Concerning Factors In Sinosteel Engineering & Technology's (SZSE:000928) Earnings
Sinosteel Engineering & Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000928) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. However the statutory profit number doesn't tell the whole story, and we have found some factors which might be of concern to shareholders.
中钢工程科技有限公司(SZSE:000928)的良好盈利数字并未给投资者带来任何惊喜。然而,法定盈利数字并不能完全反映实际情况,我们找到了一些可能引起股东关注的因素。
A Closer Look At Sinosteel Engineering & Technology's Earnings
深入了解中钢工程科技的盈利情况
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如财务控制狂所知,从现金流中的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与其利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,并将结果除以公司在该时间内的平均经营资产。该比率告诉我们公司利润中有多少不受自由现金流支持。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,当一个公司有一个负的应计比率时,实际上是一件好事,但如果它的应计比率是正的,那就是一件坏事。虽然有一个正的应计比率并不是一个问题,表明了一定程度的非现金利润,但高的应计比率则是一个坏事,因为它表明纸上的利润不与现金流匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的论文,“应计比率更高的公司未来的盈利能力往往更低。”
For the year to September 2024, Sinosteel Engineering & Technology had an accrual ratio of 0.83. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥910.6m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥1.7b in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥2.7b a year ago though, so Sinosteel Engineering & Technology has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. The good news for shareholders is that Sinosteel Engineering & Technology's accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.
截至2024年9月,中钢工程科技的应计比率为0.83。一般规则是,这对未来的盈利潜力不利。事实上,在这段时间内,公司并未产生任何自由现金流。尽管报告盈利为91060万人民币,但查看自由现金流显示,公司实际上在过去一年中烧掉了17亿人民币。不过,我们发现一年前的自由现金流是27亿人民币,因此中钢工程科技至少过去曾能够产生积极的自由现金流。对股东的好消息是,中钢工程科技的应计比率去年要好得多,因此今年的不佳数据可能只是盈利和自由现金流之间短期不匹配的情况。因此,一些股东可能期望公司在本年度实现更强的现金转换率。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
Our Take On Sinosteel Engineering & Technology's Profit Performance
我们对中钢建利润表现的看法
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Sinosteel Engineering & Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Sinosteel Engineering & Technology's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 16% in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Sinosteel Engineering & Technology (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.
正如我们早已明确的,我们对中钢建上年度的利润没有得到自由现金流的支持感到有些担忧。因此,我们认为中钢建的规定利润可能不是其基本盈利能力的好指引,可能会给投资者过度乐观的印象。好消息是,其每股收益在过去一年增加了16%。归根结底,要全面了解这家公司,除了以上因素外,还必须考虑更多的因素。所以,如果您想深入了解这支股票,就必须考虑它所面临的任何风险是至关重要的。我们的分析显示了中钢建有2个警示信号(有1个让我们感到不太满意!),我们强烈建议您在投资之前查看这些。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Sinosteel Engineering & Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
这个注释只关注了一个揭示中钢建利润性质的因素。但如果你有能力专注于细节,总有更多可以发现的东西。有些人认为高净资产回报率是优质企业的一个好迹象。因此,您可能希望查看这些拥有高净资产回报率的公司的免费汇编,或者这些拥有高内部持股的股票清单。
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