Despite an already strong run, Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688325) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 44% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 40%.
Following the firm bounce in price, Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 49.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 36x and even P/E's below 21x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics as its earnings have been rising very briskly. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 125% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 18% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics' P/E
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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