Why Everspin Technologies' (NASDAQ:MRAM) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Why Everspin Technologies' (NASDAQ:MRAM) Shaky Earnings Are Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
The latest earnings report from Everspin Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRAM ) disappointed investors. We did some digging and believe that things are better than they seem due to some encouraging factors.
Everspin Technologies公司(纳斯达克股票代码:MRAm)最新的收益报告让投资者感到失望。我们进行了一些调查后认为,由于一些令人鼓舞的因素,情况比表面看起来要好。
Zooming In On Everspin Technologies' Earnings
关注Everspin Technologies的盈利情况
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
用于衡量公司如何将其利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的一个重要的财务比率是应计比率。为了获得应计比率,我们首先从一段时间的利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该期间的平均营运资产。该比率向我们展示了公司的利润超过自由现金流的程度。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
因此,负应计比率对公司是有益的,而正应计比率则是不利的。这并不是说我们应该担心正应计比率,但值得注意的是应计比率相当高的地方。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高应计比率通常是短期利润的不良迹象。
For the year to September 2024, Everspin Technologies had an accrual ratio of -0.12. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$3.7m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$1.54m. Everspin Technologies did see its free cash flow drop year on year, which is less than ideal, like a Simpson's episode without Groundskeeper Willie. Having said that, there is more to the story. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.
截至2024年9月底的全年,Everspin Technologies的应计比率为-0.12。 因此,其法定盈利要比其自由现金流要少很多。换句话说,在这段时期内,它产生了370万美元的自由现金流,远远超过其154万美元的报告利润。 Everspin Technologies确实看到其自由现金流同比下降,这并非理想,就像没有Groundskeeper Willie的辛普森一集一样。 话虽如此,事情并非尽如人意。 应计比率反映了非常规项目对法定利润的影响,至少在一定程度上。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit
除了稀释之外,还应该注意的是,万集科技在过去12个月中因不寻常项目获得了价值人民币3.5万元的利润。虽然我们希望看到利润增加,但当这些不寻常项目对利润做出重大贡献时,我们会更加谨慎。我们对全球大部分上市公司的数据进行了分析,发现不寻常项目往往是一次性的。这正如我们所期望的那样,因为这些提升被描述为"不寻常"。相对于其利润而言,万集科技在2021年12月前的不寻常项目贡献大。因此,我们可以推断出,这些不寻常项目正在使其财务利润显著增强。
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Everspin Technologies' profit was boosted by unusual items worth US$2.0m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Everspin Technologies had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
虽然应计比率可能是好兆头,但我们也注意到,everspin technologies的利润在过去十二个月中受到了价值200万美元的飞凡项目的推动。虽然盈利增加总是件好事,但异常项目的大幅贡献有时会减弱我们的热情。当我们对成千上万家上市公司的数据进行分析时,我们发现一年中异常项目的推动往往不会在下一年重复发生。这是受预期的影响,因为这些推动被描述为“异常”。相对于其2024年9月的利润,everspin technologies的异常项目贡献相当显著。其他条件不变的情况下,这可能会导致会计利润对潜在收益能力的指导效果不佳。
Our Take On Everspin Technologies' Profit Performance
我们对Everspin Technologies的利润绩效的看法是,其利润得到了非常规项目的提振,这表明它们可能不会被维持,但它的应计比率仍然表明了良好的现金转换能力,这是令人兴奋的。“考虑了这些因素后,我们认为Everspin Technologies的法定利润并没有过于严苛地评估业务。有了这个想法,我们不会考虑投资股票,除非我们对风险有彻底的了解。在Simply Wall St,我们发现了Everspin Technologies的4个警告信号,我们认为您值得关注。
In conclusion, Everspin Technologies' accrual ratio suggests its statutory earnings are of good quality, but on the other hand the profits were boosted by unusual items. Having considered these factors, we don't think Everspin Technologies' statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs that you should run your eye over to get a better picture of Everspin Technologies.
总之,everspin technologies的应计比率表明其法定收益质量良好,但另一方面,利润受到异常项目的推动。考虑到这些因素,我们认为everspin technologies的法定利润并没有对业务给出过于严苛的看法。因此,如果您想深入了解这支股票,重要的是要考虑它所面临的任何风险。例如,我们发现了4个警示信号,您应该仔细观察,以更好地了解everspin technologies。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在本文中,我们已经探讨了许多可能损害利润数字作为企业指导的因素。但有很多其他方法可以了解公司的情况。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是良好业务经济学的一个指标,而其他人则喜欢“跟随资金”,寻找内部人员购买的股票。因此,您可能希望查看这些高股本回报率的免费公司集合,或这些拥有高内部所有权的股票的清单。
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